Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 260700
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
300 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A COUPLE OF SUCCESSIVE STORM SYSTEMS WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA TODAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK. BESIDES THE
SPRING SHOWERS, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN UNSEASONABLY MILD.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-270800-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
300 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (-7)   48-53 (-2)   68-73
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (+14)  95-100 (+14) 48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G23                  SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G27     S  9 G25     SW  6 G15
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     70           60           50
Precip duration       2            2            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.21         0.06         0.04
LAL                   5            1            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)   S 23                      SW 14
Dispersion            68 Good                   39 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G23                  SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G27     S 12 G25     SW  8

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-270800-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
300 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (-4)   48-53 (0)    66-71
RH % (24h trend)      51-56 (+8)   95-100 (+10) 49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G26                  SW  7 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G27     S 10 G26     W  7 G15
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           50           50
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.19         0.08         0.03
LAL                   4            1            3
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)   S 24                      W 12
Dispersion            56 Gen good               27 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 13 G26                  SW  8 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G27     S 13 G26     W  8 G15

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-270800-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
300 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (0)    49-54 (-1)   65-70
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (+3)   93-98 (+10)  52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 12 G31                  SW  7 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G35     S 11 G31     SW  8 G17
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           40           40
Precip duration       2            1            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.14         0.06         0.05
LAL                   4            1            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5100                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)   S 25                      SW 14
Dispersion            42 Gen good               33 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 15 G31                  SW 10 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 18 G35     S 14 G31     SW 10 G17

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to
mid 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-270800-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
300 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (0)    52-57 (-1)   68-73
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (+3)   95-100 (+13) 51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 11 G27                  S  6 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G28     S  9 G24     SW  8 G19
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           50           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.13         0.04         0.06
LAL                   4            1            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4300                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)   S 23                      SW 15
Dispersion            43 Gen good               48 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 14 G27                  S  8 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G28     S 11 G24     SW 11 G19

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph shifting to
the north after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to
mid 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-270800-
Nantahala National Forest-
300 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    49-54 (-3)   67-72
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+3)   95-100 (+13) 52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G24                  S  6 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G25     S  7 G22     SW  8 G17
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        showers      tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           40
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.05         0.05
LAL                   4            1            3
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      SW 15
DISPERSION            24 Fair                   46 Gen good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G24                  S  7 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G25     S 10 G22     SW 10

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-270800-
East Tennessee District East-
300 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (-5)   49-54 (-3)   70-75
RH % (24h trend)      50-55 (+11)  95-100 (+14) 48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  6 G21                 SW  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G26     S  7 G21     SW  7 G16
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           50           50
Precip duration       2            1            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.16         0.05         0.04
LAL                   5            1            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)   S 21                      SW 13
Dispersion            73 Good                   40 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  8 G21                 SW  7 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G26     S  9 G21     SW  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-270800-
East Tennessee District West-
300 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (-3)   52-57 (-2)   71-76
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (+9)   94-99 (+13)  51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G23                  S  5 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G27     SW  7 G21    SW  8 G18
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           50           40
Precip duration       2            1            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.17         0.03         0.07
LAL                   5            1            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4600                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)   S 23                      SW 17
Dispersion            66 Good                   50 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 11 G23                  S  7 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G27     SW  8 G21    SW 10 G18

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around
50. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-270800-
Cumberland District South-
300 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017 /200 AM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (-2)   54-59 (-2)   71-76
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (+8)   95-100 (+11) 51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G24                  S  6 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G25     S  6 G18     S  8 G18
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           40           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.15         0.02         0.08
LAL                   4            1            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4300                      4800
Transport wnd (mph)   S 22                      SW 17
Dispersion            61 Good                   55 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 11 G24                  S  8 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G25     S  7 G18     S 10 G18

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 50s.
West winds less than 10 mph shifting to the north after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 70s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 70s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around
50. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
50. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. North winds less than 10 mph.

$$



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