Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 310121 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
921 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION
ON HALLOWEEN...BRINGING A COLD WIND AND LIGHT RAIN. RAIN WILL
EVENTUALLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH SIGNIFICANT
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE UNSEASONABLY COLD THIS WEEKEND...BUT A QUICK
WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010230-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
921 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-1)   48-53 (-4)   28-33        36-41
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  56-61 (+6)   90-95        59-64
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         W  7 G15     NW  9 G19
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          90
PRECIP DURATION                    4            8            6
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.35         0.14
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     NW 18
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               8 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G17     W  9 G19     NW 11 G24

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010230-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
921 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-1)   46-51 (-4)   26-31        31-36
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-1)   58-63 (+7)   95-100       65-70
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         NW  7 G18    NW 11 G24
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           80
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            7
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.43         0.22
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW 23
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 12 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         NW  9 G23    NW 14 G30

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-010230-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
921 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-1)   47-52 (-4)   25-30        33-38
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   53-58 (+5)   95-100       59-64
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G23
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6 G16    NW  9 G19    NW  9 G20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           80
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            5
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.45         0.18
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW 22
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G29
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G20    NW 12 G23    NW 12 G25

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-010230-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
921 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (0)    52-57 (-4)   28-33        40-45
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-6)   46-51 (+3)   88-93        47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G24
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G19    NW 13 G24    N 11 G24
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           60
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.12         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     NW 22
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               28 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 16 G31
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G24    NW 16 G31    N 14 G30

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-010230-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
921 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-1)   51-56 (-4)   28-33        40-45
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-6)   51-56 (+9)   86-91        48-53
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G24
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6 G15    NW 11 G22    NW 12 G24
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           50
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.12         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     NW 23
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               25 FAIR
MAX LVORI                          5                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 16 G30
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G19    NW 13 G27    NW 15 G30

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010230-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
921 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   51-56 (-4)   29-34        38-43
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  51-56 (+6)   87-92        55-60
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         NW  8 G15    NW  8 G16
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           80
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            4
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.22         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW 18
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G18     NW 10 G19    NW 10 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID
60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010230-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
921 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-1)   52-57 (-4)   29-34        39-44
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-3)   47-52 (+2)   84-89        52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6 G18    NW 10 G21    NW  8 G18
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           60           60
PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.13         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     NW 21
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   25 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 11 G22
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G23    NW 12 G26    NW 10 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010230-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
921 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-1)   54-59 (-4)   29-34        43-48
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+4)   43-48 (0)    85-90        46-51
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G24
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G23    NW 13 G25    N 12 G23
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           20
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.03         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     NW 25
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   40 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 16 G30
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW 11 G28    NW 17 G31    N 15 G29

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$



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