Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 192010
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
310 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE A WARM AND SUNNY
DAY MONDAY. THE UNSEASONABLE WARMTH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK, BUT THERE WILL BE SOME SHOWERS AROUND AT
TIMES.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202115-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
310 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      36-41 (-5)   66-71 (+7)   42-47        64-69
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  25-30 (-23)  84-89        46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 4 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      4800
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  1                     SW 14
Dispersion                         2 Very poor               33 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. North winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202115-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
310 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (-5)   64-69 (+9)   42-47        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  26-31 (-27)  85-90        43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3800                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  1                     W  8
Dispersion                         1 Very poor               18 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW  6

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s
to lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-202115-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
310 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      36-41 (-3)   63-68 (+7)   43-48        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (-7)   33-38 (-17)  81-86        44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 7 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4200                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)                N  1                      SW  9
Dispersion                         2 Very poor               23 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Northeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-202115-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
310 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      36-41 (-5)   66-71 (+5)   45-50        65-70
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  33-38 (-20)  86-91        45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 7 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4200                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)                S  1                      SW 10
Dispersion                         3 Very poor               30 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Northeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper
40s to lower 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-202115-
Nantahala National Forest-
310 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-7)   66-71 (+5)   42-47        63-68
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  35-40 (-19)  92-97        47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM
PRECIP END                                                   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  2                      S  9
DISPERSION                         5 Very poor               26 Fair
MAX LVORI                          7                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the 60s to
lower 70s. Light winds becoming southwest less than 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows near 50. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northeast winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper
40s to lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202115-
East Tennessee District East-
310 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      36-41 (-6)   67-72 (+7)   43-48        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  30-35 (-20)  88-93        44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 4 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3400                      4600
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  2                     SW 12
Dispersion                         4 Very poor               31 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. North winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper
40s to lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202115-
East Tennessee District West-
310 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (-5)   67-72 (+5)   45-50        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  34-39 (-15)  85-90        46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 7 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3100                      3800
Transport wnd (mph)                E  3                      SW 14
Dispersion                         5 Very poor               29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows near 50.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northeast winds up
to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-202115-
Cumberland District South-
310 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017 /210 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017/

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (-3)   67-72 (+3)   48-53        67-72
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  36-41 (-14)  85-90        47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 7 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3300                      3800
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  3                     S 10
Dispersion                         6 Very poor               24 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s
to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower
70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in
the 50s to lower 60s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$



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