Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 301839
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
239 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY, ALONG WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DRIER AIR AND
MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE IN FOR TUESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011945-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
239 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (-1)   68-73 (-15)  45-50        65-70
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (+4)   43-48 (+5)   75-80        29-34
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 16 G38                  W 11 G30
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G31     SW 17 G39    SW 11 G30    W 14 G31
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     40           70           0            0
Precip duration       1            2
Precip begin          11 PM        Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   5 PM
Precip amount         0.04         0.30         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            5            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5600                      8500
Transport wnd (mph)                S 38                      W 30
Dispersion                         119 Very good             167 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 20 G38                  W 14 G30
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G31     SW 22 G39    SW 15 G30    W 17 G31

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 40s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. North winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011945-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
239 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (-1)   66-71 (-14)  43-48        63-68
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+10) 42-47 (+1)   75-80        32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 16 G39                  W 12 G29
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G36     SW 15 G34    W 11 G25     W 14 G29
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     40           60           0            0
Precip duration       1            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.09         0.47         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            4            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5800                      7500
Transport wnd (mph)                S 36                      W 30
Dispersion                         93 Good                   128 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 20 G39                  W 15 G29
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G36     SW 20 G34    W 13 G25     W 17 G29

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. Southeast winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-011945-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
239 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (-1)   64-69 (-16)  43-48        64-69
RH % (24h trend)      73-78 (-7)   40-45 (-1)   76-81        27-32
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 20 G60                  W 10 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 20 G56     SW 18 G43    SW 12 G36    W 13 G29
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           70           0            0
Precip duration       2            2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.20         0.46         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            5            1            1
LASI                               3                         6
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6000                      7500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 43                     W 28
Dispersion                         105 Very good             109 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 26 G60                  W 12 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 25 G56     SW 24 G43    SW 16 G36    W 16 G29

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 50s to upper 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 60s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 70s. North winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-011945-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
239 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (-2)   66-71 (-15)  46-51        68-73
RH % (24h trend)      74-79 (-8)   39-44 (-7)   73-78        27-32
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 17 G44                 W  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 18 G45     SW 16 G38    SW 10 G33    W 11 G25
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           70           0            0
Precip duration       2            2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.29         0.27         0.00         0.00
LAL                   5            5            1            1
LASI                               3                         6
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6100                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 37                     W 20
Dispersion                         127 Very good             67 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 20 G44                 W 10 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 23 G45     SW 21 G38    SW 12 G33    W 14 G25

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
West winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northwest after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
North winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southwest early in
the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-011945-
Nantahala National Forest-
239 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    65-70 (-13)  44-49        68-73
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-9)   42-47 (-9)   81-86        26-31
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 15 G38                  W  8 G22
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 16 G38     SW 15 G33    W  9 G31     W 11 G26
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       2            3
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.38         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            5            1            1
LASI                               3                         6
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     W 20
DISPERSION                         109 Very good             77 Good
MAX LVORI                          3                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 18 G38                  W 10 G22
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 20 G38     SW 19 G33    W 11 G31     W 14 G26

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southwest early
in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 60s to
lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011945-
East Tennessee District East-
239 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (+1)   70-75 (-13)  46-51        68-73
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (+3)   40-45 (+1)   75-80        30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 14 G33                  W 10 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G26     SW 16 G36    W 11 G27     W 13 G29
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     40           70           0            0
Precip duration       1            2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   5 PM
Precip amount         0.09         0.32         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            4            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5500                      6800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 35                     W 25
Dispersion                         120 Very good             116 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 17 G33                  W 13 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G26     SW 20 G36    W 14 G27     W 16 G29

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011945-
East Tennessee District West-
239 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (-4)   68-73 (-16)  47-52        70-75
RH % (24h trend)      78-83 (-3)   38-43 (-5)   76-81        26-31
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 16 G38                 SW  9 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G34     SW 18 G39    SW 10 G31    W 12 G27
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           70           0            0
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   5 PM
Precip amount         0.31         0.15         0.00         0.00
LAL                   5            4            1            1
LASI                               3                         6
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6000                      7000
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 41                     W 24
Dispersion                         169 Very good             124 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 20 G38                 SW 11 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G34     SW 23 G39    SW 13 G31    W 15 G27

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southwest early in the
afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-011945-
Cumberland District South-
239 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017 /139 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017/

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (-6)   68-73 (-14)  47-52        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+6)   37-42 (-14)  79-84        27-32
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 15 G36                 W  7 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G37     SW 17 G38    SW  9 G29    W 11 G27
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     100          70           0            0
Precip duration       3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   5 PM
Precip amount         0.64         0.06         0.00         0.00
LAL                   5            5            1            1
LASI                               5                         6
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6400                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 37                     W 18
Dispersion                         164 Very good             68 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 19 G36                 W 10 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 19 G37     SW 22 G38    SW 11 G29    W 14 G27

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
West winds less than 10 mph shifting to the north after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. East winds less
than 10 mph shifting to the south early in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the 60s to upper
70s. North winds less than 10 mph.

$$



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