Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Salt Lake City, UT

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000
FNUS55 KSLC 212104
FWFSLC

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UTAH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
304 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...TRANSITIONING TO WARMER AND DRIER...

.BROADCAST DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LINGERING INTO MONDAY ACROSS THE NORTH AND EAST. IT WILL TURN
WARMER AND DRIER THROUGH MID WEEK.

.DISCUSSION...WITH DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE...THE REMINDER OF TODAY
WILL BE THE MOST WIDESPREAD CHANCE OF RAINFALL AS A WEAKENING STORM
SYSTEM CROSSES THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
COPIOUS LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED. THIS PATTERN WILL BRING EXPANSIVE
CLOUD COVER...RISING HUMIDITY LEVELS AND COOLING TEMPERATURES.
CONVECTION LINGERS TOMORROW ACROSS THE NORTH AND EAST...DECAYING FOR
GOOD TOMORROW EVENING.

A WARMING AND DRYING TREND WILL BEGIN TOMORROW ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
AND BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK AS A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE AMPLIFIES OVERHEAD.

THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TIMING OF A STRONG COLD
FRONT LATE IN THE WEEK. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WITH STRONG GUSTY SOUTH WINDS
DEVELOPING...BEFORE CONVECTIVE CHANCES ONCE AGAIN INCREASE NEXT
WEEKEND.

***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***
***ALL WINDS ARE 20 FOOT...10-MINUTE AVERAGES***

UTZ478>480-221230-
FORECAST AREA 1...NORTHERN UTAH (NORTHERN UTAH IFC AREA)-
ZONE 478 SALT LAKE DESERT...ZONE 479 WASATCH MOUNTAINS...ZONE
480 UINTA MOUNTAINS-
304 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PCT CLOUD COVER). IN THE
                    VALLEYS...NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS...WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...50-60.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...37-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...82-92 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...91-99 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH
                                   BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH
                                   AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHEAST 15-25 MPH BECOMING
                                   SOUTH 10-20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................4.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........IN THE VALLEYS...PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER)...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. IN THE MOUNTAINS...MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    (70-80 PCT CLOUD COVER)...NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...72-79.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...57-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...28-38 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...49-59 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH IN THE
                                   MORNING BECOMING
                                   UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH.
LAL.................3 IN THE VALLEYS AND 5 IN THE MOUNTAINS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS AND 50 PERCENT IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........IN THE VALLEYS...PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER). IN THE MOUNTAINS...PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45
                    PCT CLOUD COVER)...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...52-61.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...38-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...66-76 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...85-95 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......WEST 10-20 MPH.
LAL.................1 IN THE VALLEYS AND 2 IN THE MOUNTAINS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........IN THE VALLEYS...MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER). IN THE MOUNTAINS...MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30
                    PCT CLOUD COVER).

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...77-85.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...59-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...20-30 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...36-46 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH BECOMING
                                   WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

=

$$

UTZ492>494-221230-
FORECAST AREA 2...WEST CENTRAL UTAH (RICHFIELD IFC AREA)-
ZONE 492 CENTRAL UTAH WEST DESERT...ZONE 493 CENTRAL UTAH
MOUNTAINS...ZONE 494 HENRY MOUNTAINS-
304 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PCT CLOUD COVER) UNTIL
                    2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER). IN THE VALLEYS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS...NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...49-59.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...44-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...80-90 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...84-94 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH.
LAL.................4.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PCT CLOUD COVER) UNTIL
                    1200...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER). IN THE VALLEYS...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200. IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...71-81.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...62-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...23-33 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...33-43 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......WEST 15-25 MPH.
LAL.................2.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PCT CLOUD COVER).

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...48-58.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...43-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...71-81 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...69-79 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PCT CLOUD COVER).

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...76-86.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...66-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...17-26 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...27-37 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......NORTHEAST 10-20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.

=

$$

UTZ495>498-221230-
FORECAST AREA 3...SOUTHWEST UTAH (CEDAR CITY IFC AREA)-
ZONE 495 COLOR COUNTRY WEST DESERT...ZONE 496 COLOR COUNTRY
MOUNTAINS...ZONE 497 MOJAVE DESERT...ZONE 498 GRAND STAIRCASE-
304 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PCT CLOUD COVER). IN THE
                    VALLEYS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2400. IN THE MOUNTAINS...SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 3000 FEET...64-70.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...53-63.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...40-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 3000 FEET...66-76 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...75-85 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...88-98 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
LAL.................3 IN THE VALLEYS AND 4 IN THE MOUNTAINS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PCT CLOUD COVER).

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 3000 FEET...AROUND 90.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...76-86.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...64-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 3000 FEET...21 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...21-30 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...34-44 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH
                                   BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH
                                   IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    RIDGETOPS......WEST 10-20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PCT CLOUD COVER).

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 3000 FEET...63-69.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...52-62.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...39-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 3000 FEET...50-60 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...59-69 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...78-88 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PCT CLOUD COVER).

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 3000 FEET...AROUND 92.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...79-89.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...66-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 3000 FEET...17 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...17-24 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...26-34 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.

=

$$

UTZ488>491-221230-
FORECAST AREA 4...SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL UTAH (MOAB IFC AREA)-
ZONE 488 MANTI NATIONAL FOREST...ZONE 489 SAN RAFAEL SWELL...ZONE
490 COLORADO RIVER BASIN...ZONE 491 SOUTHEAST UTAH-
304 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........IN THE VALLEYS...PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER)...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 2400. IN THE MOUNTAINS...MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    (65-75 PCT CLOUD COVER)...NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...54-64.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...44-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...77-87 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...85-95 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
LAL.................5.
CWR.................20 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS AND 40 PERCENT IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS.
HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PCT CLOUD COVER) UNTIL
                    1200...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER). IN THE VALLEYS...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. IN THE MOUNTAINS...SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...74-84.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...62-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...25-35 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...38-48 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH
                                   BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH
                                   IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
LAL.................2 IN THE VALLEYS AND 4 IN THE MOUNTAINS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PCT CLOUD COVER). IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...52-62.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...42-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...62-72 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...64-74 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......WEST 15-25 MPH.
LAL.................1 IN THE VALLEYS AND 2 IN THE MOUNTAINS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PCT CLOUD COVER).

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...77-87.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...65-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...17-27 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...25-35 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH BECOMING
                                   LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
                                   AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

=

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S IN THE VALLEYS AND IN THE
UPPER 40S IN THE MOUNTAINS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S IN THE VALLEYS
AND IN THE LOWER 70S IN THE MOUNTAINS. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S IN THE VALLEYS
AND IN THE UPPER 40S IN THE MOUNTAINS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S IN
THE VALLEYS AND IN THE LOWER 70S IN THE MOUNTAINS. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S IN THE VALLEYS AND AROUND
50 IN THE MOUNTAINS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S IN THE VALLEYS AND IN
THE UPPER 60S IN THE MOUNTAINS. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 25 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S IN THE VALLEYS AND IN THE MID 40S IN THE
MOUNTAINS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S IN THE VALLEYS AND IN THE LOWER
60S IN THE MOUNTAINS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. IN THE VALLEYS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S...HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
IN THE MOUNTAINS...SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND
ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS...LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S...HIGHS IN THE MID
50S.

.8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY SEPTEMBER 29 TO SUNDAY OCTOBER 05
TEMPERATURE... BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION... NEAR NORMAL
=

$$

ROGOWSKI


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