Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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000
FNUS73 KABR 041318
FWSABR

SPOT FORECAST FOR R2 HOFER BURN 2016...STATE OF SOUTH DAKOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
818 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA TODAY WILL SINK SOUTH ACROSS
NEBRASKA TONIGHT. EXPECT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO FALL INTO THE
25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE ACROSS MOST AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS
WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER TODAY...BUT STILL OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AROUND
10 TO 15 MPH OVER NORTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND FAR WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA. WARMING SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN THURSDAY AND EARLY
FRIDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT IN THE 80S BOTH DAYS. DRY
WEATHER SHOULD REMAIN THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT CLOUD).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 4800-5700 FT AGL AFTER
                    1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (17100-27100) UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR
                    (53900-58300).

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............55  59  63  66  69  70  72  72  71
RH..............49  42  36  32  28  29  27  28  30
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10      5

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT CLOUD).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN SOUTH 6
                    TO 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1800-9000).

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............70  66  62  59  56  53  52  52  51  49  47  46
RH..............32  37  44  47  53  57  59  59  59  63  68  71
20 FT WIND DIR..N   NW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...DOERING
REQUESTED BY...DAN MCCORMICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160504.R2HOF.03/ABR


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