Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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855
FNUS71 KAKQ 251211
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR FCSP EAST POOL...U.S FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
811 AM EDT MON APR 25 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST THROUGH
TUESDAY. RETURN SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES
AND A MODEST INCREASE IN MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT.
THIS COLD FRONT ALONG WITH A SCATTERED SHOWERS THUNDERSTORMS WILL
COME THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE NORTH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-3000 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............3   7   7   7   15  15  15  21  21  21
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................49  53  58  63  65  67  68  69  69  69
RH..................93  80  67  56  52  49  49  47  47  47
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   7   7   8   10  10  10  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  15  15  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  12  14  15  16  16  17  17  16  16
LVORI...............6   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................8   9   14  24  33  31  36  38  37  38
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX........4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   6   11  16  23  28  35  38  39  42

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............18  18  18  9   9   9   7   7   7   13  13  13
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................69  67  65  64  62  61  61  61  60  60  60  60
RH..................49  56  63  63  70  72  72  75  78  78  81  81
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......12  13  13  13  12  12  13  13  14  13  13  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  25  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.1 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....16  16  16  16  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
LVORI...............2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
ADI.................22  18  14  14  14  14  13  13  13  13  13  14
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX........4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
VRATE KT-FT/1000....30  19  7   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 21 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............17  17  17  25  25  25  24  24  24  29  29  29
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................60  60  62  65  69  72  74  75  75  76  76  75
RH..................84  84  81  73  63  57  53  52  52  50  50  52
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......13  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  15  15
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....17  20  21  21  21  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LVORI...............4   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................19  21  23  23  30  36  41  46  51  54  57  59
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........5   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   4   5   14  23  31  40  50  60  67  74  80



FORECASTER...ALBRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...STEVEN HUBNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160425.FCSPE.02/AKQ



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