Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FNUS74 KAMA 252312
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast FOR HARDBALL FIRE...TFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Amarillo TX
612 PM CDT Tue Jul 25 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1900 CDT on July 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible near the burn
site until around sunset this evening. Otherwise, neither elevated
nor critical fire weather conditions are anticipated through
Wednesday as minimum relative humidity values are forecast to
remain above 20 percent. There will also be a slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms at the burn site Wednesday afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /220500 knot-ft/ at request.
                    Min...excellent /220500 knot-ft/ decreasing to
                    poor to poor (5500-10000 knot-ft).
Temperature.........94 at request...Min 74.
LAL.................1.
RH..................34 percent at request...Max 64 percent.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Transport winds.....South 15 to 24 mph decreasing to around 13 mph
                    late in the night.
Mixing height.......10500 ft AGL at request, otherwise 10500 ft AGL
                    decreasing to 500 ft AGL.
20-foot winds.......Winds south at 16 mph at request, otherwise
                    South winds 9 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......10 percent.

Time (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Sky (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
Weather Cov.....
Weather Type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Temp............94     88     84     81     79     77
RH..............34     42     49     54     54     60
20 Ft Wind......S 15   S 13   S 13   S 12   S 10   S 9
20 Ft Wind Gust.25     20     25     25     20     20
Chc of Pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
Haines Index....2      2      2      2      2      2
VentR KtFt/1000.221    80     10     10     8      6

.WEDNESDAY...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (5500-40000 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent to excellent (110000-147000 knot-ft).
Temperature.........Max 101.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
RH..................Min 26 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 21 mph decreasing to 12 to 13
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-2000 ft AGL increasing to 10500-11000 ft
                    AGL.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......10 percent.

Time (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  Noon   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather Cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather Type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Temp............76     78     86     92     96     100
RH..............62     58     45     36     30     26
20 Ft Wind......S 9    SW 10  SW 15  SW 14  SW 14  S 14
20 Ft Wind Gust.20     20     25     25     20     20
Chc of Pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     20     20
Haines Index....2      3      3      3      2      2
VentR KtFt/1000.6      14     40     128    137    121

$$
Forecaster...Andrade
Requested by...K. WAGENFEHR
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1713384.0/AMA



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