National Weather Service Text Product Display

Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
000
FNUS74 KBMX 222250
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHILO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
550 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1737 CDT ON MAY 22.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
CENTRAL ALABAMA. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE
THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND. RH VALUES COULD FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT
FOR MORE THAN 4 HOURS SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN THE SOUTHEAST...BUT WINDS
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 10 MPH...AND KDBI CRITERIA WILL ALSO NOT BE MET.

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....58.

TIME (CDT)      5 PM
SKY.............MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM
TEMP............80
RH..............67
20 FT WIND......S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10
CHC OF PCPN (%).50
MIX HGT (FT)....3700
TRANSPORT WIND..240/16
DISPERSION......58

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....48 DECREASING TO 5.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............81     75     70     68     66     66
RH..............65     79     89     94     99     97
20 FT WIND......SW 7   SW 6   SW 2   SW 1   SW 1   W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      <5     <5     <5
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     30     30     30     30     30
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   1700   500    400    400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..230/15 230/12 240/8  230/8  230/7  230/5
DISPERSION......48     8      4      4      3      2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600-8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 21
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 24 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 50 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 73 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 85
                    DECREASING TO 63 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 81 INCREASING TO 100 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............PCLDY  MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     67     76     81     84     85
RH..............99     90     66     54     49     47
20 FT WIND......N 0    N 1    W 5    W 8    NW 10  NW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.<5     <5     10     15     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    2000   5000   5600   6800   8200
TRANSPORT WIND..260/7  280/9  300/13 300/14 300/17 300/21
DISPERSION......2      24     73     60     81     104

$$
FORECASTER...ANDERSON
REQUESTED BY...PALOSTM RICHEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130522.SHILO.01/BMX
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
