Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 301900
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR MINERAL SPRINGS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
100 PM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1246 MDT ON JUNE 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE PUSHING IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THE
WINDS NEAR THE AREA WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST AS SOME TERRAIN HEATING AND UPCANYON WINDS BATTLE THE
NORTHWEST 20FT WINDS. THE AIR IS SLIGHTLY DRIER TODAY COMPARED TO
WHAT WE HAVE BEEN SEEING...SO EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO HAVE STRONGER
OUTFLOW WINDS WITH THEM...UP TO 45 MPH. EXPECT THE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY TO DIE DOWN AFTER 9 PM TONIGHT...WITH CONTINUED WESTERLY
WINDS DOWNCANYON. A FRONT WILL BE PUSHING THROUGH THE AREA AFTER 5
PM...THE MAIN EFFECT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
AND WIND OUT OF THE NORTHWEST...BUT HUMIDITY SHOULD IMPROVE.

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300 UNTIL
                    1600...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........20%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1600...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13500-14500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2100...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........77%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
CWR.................10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2 UNTIL
                    2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1400-2400 FT AGL AFTER
                    2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1000...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1100 UNTIL 1500...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........37%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1500...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 9900-10900 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    FAIR.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MINERAL SPRINGS.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

06/30-12 45  5  1 84 20 NNW  7  7 3 1  NW 20 13612  NW 15172143     E
06/30-13 51 11  2 84 22 NNW  6  6 3 2  NW 21 13924  NW 15180320     E
06/30-14 58 17  3 84 23 NNW  6  6 4 3  NW 21 14236  NW 15188687     E
06/30-15 63 23  5 84 25 NNW  6  6 4 3 WNW 21 14549  NW 16197244     E
06/30-16 67 26  6 82 27   N  7  7 4 4 WNW 21 14023  NW 16192565     E
06/30-17 72 30  9 80 30   N  7  7 4 4  NW 22 13498  NW 16187703     E
06/30-18 77 33 12 78 34   N  8 13 4 4  NW 23 12972  NW 16182657     E
06/30-19 78 30  9 75 39   N  8  8 4 4  NW 23 10056  NW 14119974    V
06/30-20 78 26  6 72 46  NW  7  7 3 4  NW 24  7140 WNW 12 69831   G
06/30-21 79 23  5 68 55 WNW  6  6 3 3  NW 24  4224 WNW  9 32228 P
06/30-22 69 18  4 65 60 WNW  5  5 3 3  NW 25  3299 WNW  7 20351 P
06/30-23 60 12  2 62 65   W  5  5 3 2  NW 26  2374   W  6 11177 P
07/01-00 50  7  1 59 69   W  5  5 3 1  NW 28  1449   W  3  4706 P
07/01-01 47  7  1 57 73   W  5  5 3 1  NW 29  1493   W  5  6553 P
07/01-02 45  7  1 56 75   W  6  6 3 1  NW 30  1536 WNW  7  8498 P
07/01-03 42  7  1 55 77   W  6  6 3 1  NW 31  1579  NW  8 10543 P
07/01-04 43  6  1 55 76   W  6  6 3 1  NW 30  1794  NW  7 11354 P
07/01-05 43  6  1 56 72   W  5  5 3 1  NW 30  2010 NNW  7 12015 P
07/01-06 44  5  1 58 67   W  5  5 3 1  NW 29  2225 NNW  7 12524 P
07/01-07 49  5  1 60 64 WNW  5  5 3 1  NW 26  3903 NNW  7 24672 P
07/01-08 53  5  1 64 58 NNW  3  3 2 1  NW 24  5581 NNW  8 39145 P
07/01-09 58  5  1 67 54   N  3  3 2 1  NW 22  7259 NNW  9 55944  F
07/01-10 63  8  2 71 48   N  3  3 2 1  NW 20  8195 NNW  8 59178  F
07/01-11 67 12  2 74 43 NNE  5  5 2 2  NW 18  9132  NW  8 61502   G
07/01-12 76 15  3 76 40  NE  5  5 2 3  NW 16 10068  NW  7 62915   G
07/01-13 72 20  4 78 37  NE  5  5 2 3  NW 16 10429  NW  7 65088   G
07/01-14 73 24  5 78 37  NE  6  6 3 3 WNW 16 10791  NW  7 67255   G
07/01-15 73 29  8 77 39  NE  6  6 3 4 WNW 16 11152  NW  7 69416   G
07/01-16 74 33 12 76 40  NE  6  6 3 4 WNW 14 10621  NW  6 54505  F
07/01-17 74 38 16 73 45 ENE  5  5 3 4 WNW 13 10090  NW  5 40755  F
07/01-18 74 37 15 73 46 ENE  5  5 3 4 WNW 15  9725  NW  5 36839 P
07/01-19 74 37 15 70 51   E  5  5 3 4 WNW 14  7491   W  5 30290 P
07/01-20 74 37 15 67 57   E  5  5 3 4   W 13  5257   S  5 22600 P
07/01-21 74 37 15 63 65 ESE  5  5 3 4   W 12  3024  SE  6 13770 P
07/01-22 74 37 15 60 72  SE  5  5 3 4   W 13  2440 SSE  5 10154 P
07/01-23 74 37 15 58 76   S  3  3 3 4   W 14  1856   S  5  6996 P
07/02-00 39  6  1 56 80 SSW  3  3 3 1   W 14  1273 SSW  3  4297 P
07/02-01 39  6  1 54 84  SW  3  3 3 1   W 15  1458 SSW  5  6018 P
07/02-02 39  6  1 54 82 WSW  5  5 3 1 WNW 16  1644  SW  6  8019 P
07/02-03 39  6  1 52 86   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 17  1829  SW  7 10299 P
07/02-04 39  6  1 51 87   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 18  1928 WSW  8 13899 P
07/02-05 39  6  1 49 91   W  5  5 3 1  NW 20  2026 WNW 10 17810 P
07/02-06 46 12  2 49 89 WNW  5  5 3 2  NW 20  2125  NW 12 22034 P
07/02-07 46 12  2 52 80 WNW  5  5 3 2  NW 20  3213 NNW 13 35192 P
07/02-08 46 12  2 56 70 NNW  6  6 2 2  NW 20  4301 NNW 14 49621  F
07/02-09 46 12  2 62 58 NNW  6  6 2 2 WNW 18  5389   N 14 65320   G
07/02-10 46 12  2 67 49   N  6  6 2 2 WNW 18  6700   N 14 77064   G
07/02-11 46 12  2 72 42 NNE  6  6 2 2 WNW 20  8011 NNW 13 87187   G
07/02-12 73 29  8 75 38 NNE  6  6 2 4 WNW 20  9321  NW 12 95688   G
07/02-13 73 29  8 76 38 NNE  6  6 2 4 WNW 21  9589  NW 10 87723   G
07/02-14 73 29  8 76 38  NE  6  6 2 4 WNW 21  9856 NNW  9 79161   G
07/02-15 73 29  8 76 39  NE  6  6 2 4 WNW 21 10124 NNW  8 70002   G
07/02-16 73 29  8 76 39  NE  6  6 2 4 WNW 21  9730 NNW  8 72559   G
07/02-17 73 29  8 75 40  NE  6  6 2 4  NW 22  9336 NNW  9 74689   G
07/02-18 45 28  8 74 41  NE  6  6 2 4  NW 22  8942 NNW 10 76392   G
07/02-19 45 28  8 71 45 ENE  6  6 2 4  NW 22  7776   N  8 54927  F
07/02-20 45 28  8 67 51   E  5  5 2 4  NW 22  6610 NNE  7 36911 P
07/02-21 45 28  8 63 58   E  5  5 2 4  NW 22  5444  NE  5 22346 P
07/02-22 45 28  8 59 66   E  5  5 2 4  NW 22  4798 ENE  5 20554 P
07/02-23 45 28  8 57 70 ESE  3  3 2 4  NW 22  4153 ESE  5 18532 P
07/03-00 29  4  1 55 74 ESE  3  3 2 1 NNW 23  3508  SE  6 16280 P
07/03-01 29  4  1 54 75  SE  3  3 2 1 NNW 24  2981  SE  5 12319 P
07/03-02 29  4  1 52 79 SSW  2  2 2 1 NNW 26  2453   S  5  8893 P
07/03-03 29  4  1 51 80  SW  2  2 2 1 NNW 28  1926   S  3  6004 P
07/03-04 29  4  1 49 84  SW  2  2 2 1 NNW 28  1655   S  3  4647 P
07/03-05 29  4  1 47 90 WSW  3  3 2 1 NNW 28  1384  SW  2  3459 P
07/03-06 36  5  1 47 89 WSW  3  3 2 1 NNW 28  1112 WSW  2  2437 P
07/03-07 36  5  1 51 77 WSW  3  3   1
07/03-08 36  5  1 56 65   W  2  2   1
07/03-09 36  5  1 61 55   W  2  2   1
07/03-10 36  5  1 66 47 WNW  2  2   1
07/03-11 36  5  1 70 42 NNE  3  3   1
07/03-12 53 15  3 72 39 ENE  3  3   3
07/03-13 53 15  3 74 37 ENE  3  3   3
07/03-14 53 15  3 75 36 ENE  3  3   3
07/03-15 53 15  3 76 35 ENE  3  3   3
07/03-16 53 15  3 76 36 ENE  3  3   3
07/03-17 53 15  3 75 37   E  5  5   3
07/03-18 46 10  2 74 38   E  5  5   2

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...KRIEDERMAN
REQUESTED BY...JOHN STEVI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150630.MINER.01/BOU


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