Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 081257
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPITI 2 RX FIRE...COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
557 AM MST THU DEC 8 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON DECEMBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TODAY AND TONIGHT...AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE
FOOTHILLS TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY AND LIGHT DRAINAGE WINDS
TONIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL REMAIN POOR AS THE COLD AIR PRODUCES STRONG INVERSIONS JUST
OFF THE SURFACE.

ON FRIDAY...WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL INCREASE AND BEGIN ERODING AWAY THE COLD AIR.  TEMPERATURES
WILL BE WARMER ALONG WITH MORE WIND FROM THE SOUTHWEST. DISPERSION WILL REMAIN POOR BUT
MIXING LEVELS WILL DEEPEN SLIGHTLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1600, THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY(60-65%).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....12 TO 16.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-62%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN SOUTHEAST
                    4-8 MPH UNTIL 1400, THEN VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 10 ABOVE.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-86%.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH UNTIL 2000, THEN WEST 5-6
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100, THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-38.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-60%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 1500-2000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAPITI 2 RX FIRE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

12/08-08 30  0  0 -2 79 SSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 43   960 SSW  3  2782 P
12/08-09 34  0  0  1 75   S  3  3 2 1 WNW 43  1117 SSW  3  3235 P
12/08-10 38  0  0  6 66  SE  3  3 3 1 WNW 44  1275   S  3  3687 P
12/08-11 42  0  0 10 60 ESE  3  3 3 1 WNW 44  1432   S  3  4139 P
12/08-12 48  0  0 13 58 ESE  3  3 3 1 WNW 46  1603   S  3  5130 P
12/08-13 53  0  0 14 56 ESE  3  3 2 1 WNW 47  1773   S  5  6228 P
12/08-14 58  0  0 14 58 ESE  3  3 2 1 WNW 48  1944 SSW  5  7432 P
12/08-15 59  0  0 13 61 SSE  3  3 2 1 WNW 48  1638 SSW  5  5777 P
12/08-16 60  1  0 12 67 WSW  2  2 2 1 WNW 48  1333 SSW  3  4304 P
12/08-17 61  1  0 11 70 WNW  2  2 2 1 WNW 49  1027 SSW  3  3012 P
12/08-18 62  1  0 11 70 WNW  2  2 2 1 WNW 49  1003 SSW  3  3102 P
12/08-19 63  1  0 10 73   W  3  3 2 1 WNW 49   980  SW  3  3184 P
12/08-20 64  2  0 10 73   W  3  3 2 1 WNW 49   956 WSW  3  3259 P
12/08-21 64  2  0 10 76   W  3  3 2 1 WNW 49   921 WSW  5  3892 P
12/08-22 64  2  0 10 76   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 48   886 WSW  6  4467 P
12/08-23 72  2  0 10 80   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 48   851   W  7  4985 P
12/09-00 72  2  0 12 76   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 52   862   W  8  5828 P
12/09-01 72  2  0 13 73   W  6  6 3 1 WNW 55   874   W  9  6693 P
12/09-02 72  2  0 15 70   W  6  6 3 1 WNW 59   885   W 10  7579 P
12/09-03 72  2  0 16 70   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 54   888   W 10  8436 P
12/09-04 72  2  0 17 70   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 51   891   W 12  8910 P
12/09-05 59  8  2 19 67   W  8 13 3 1   W 46   894   W 12  9387 P
12/09-06 59  8  2 19 72   W  8 13 3 1   W 43   906   W 12  9257 P
12/09-07 59  8  2 21 72   W  8 13 3 1   W 40   919   W 12  9120 P
12/09-08 59  8  2 23 71   W  8 13 3 1   W 37   931   W 12  8975 P
12/09-09 59  8  2 27 66   W  8 13 3 1   W 39  1061   W 12 10175 P
12/09-10 59  8  2 31 61 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 41  1191   W 12 11362 P
12/09-11 41  0  0 34 59 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 44  1321   W 10 12536 P
12/09-12 41  0  0 37 55 WSW  9 14 2 1   W 44  1635   W 12 15708 P
12/09-13 41  0  0 38 54 WSW  9 16 2 1 WNW 45  1949   W 12 18954 P
12/09-14 41  0  0 38 54 WSW 10 16 2 1 WNW 46  2264   W 12 22273 P
12/09-15 41  0  0 36 59 WSW 10 16 2 1 WNW 44  1862   W 10 17406 P
12/09-16 41  0  0 33 65  SW  9 15 2 1 WNW 43  1460 WSW 10 12933 P
12/09-17 45  5  1 30 72  SW  9 15 2 1 WNW 40  1058 WSW  9  8855 P
12/09-18 45  5  1 28 77  SW  9 15 2 1 WNW 39  1191 WSW 10 10630 P
12/09-19 45  5  1 27 79 WSW  9 15 2 1 WNW 39  1325 WSW 10 12552 P
12/09-20 45  5  1 26 81 WSW  9 15 2 1 WNW 38  1458 WSW 12 14622 P
12/09-21 45  5  1 26 80 WSW  9 14 2 1 WNW 36  1404 WSW 12 14547 P
12/09-22 45  5  1 26 79 WSW  8 14 2 1 WNW 33  1351   W 13 14437 P
12/09-23 44  5  1 26 78 WSW  8 13 2 1 WNW 31  1297   W 13 14291 P
12/10-00 44  5  1 26 77 WSW  8 13 2 1 WNW 35  1248   W 13 13922 P
12/10-01 44  5  1 26 77 WSW  8 14 2 1 WNW 38  1200   W 13 13540 P
12/10-02 44  5  1 26 78 WSW  9 15 2 1 WNW 40  1151   W 13 13146 P
12/10-03 44  5  1 27 75 WSW 10 16 2 1   W 35  1093   W 14 12766 P
12/10-04 44  5  1 29 71 WSW 10 17 3 1   W 29  1034   W 14 12354 P
12/10-05 46 25  5 30 69 WSW 12 18 3 1   W 23   975   W 14 11912 P
12/10-06 46 25  5 31 67 WSW 12 20 3 1   W 25  1129   W 15 14660 P
12/10-07 46 25  5 33 62 WSW 13 20 3 1   W 28  1284   W 16 17645 P
12/10-08 46 25  5 35 59   W 13 21 3 1   W 30  1438   W 17 20866 P
12/10-09 46 25  5 38 56   W 13 21 3 1   W 33  1960   W 23 38849 P
12/10-10 46 25  5 41 53   W 14 22 4 1   W 36  2481   W 29 62377   G
12/10-11 55 28  8 44 49   W 14 22 4 1   W 39  3003   W 35 91449   G
12/10-12 55 28  8 45 45   W 14 22 3 1   W 49  3346   W 36104477    V
12/10-13 55 28  8 46 40   W 14 22 3 1   W 60  3688   W 37118036    V
12/10-14 55 28  8 45 38 WNW 14 22 2 1   W 70  4031   W 38132126    V
12/10-15 55 28  8 42 41   W 14 22 2 1   W 70  3373   W 33 98239   G
12/10-16 55 28  8 39 45   W 13 21 2 1   W 70  2715   W 29 69159   G
12/10-17 53 26  6 36 50   W 13 21 2 1   W 69  2057   W 25 44886  F
12/10-18 57 26  6 34 53   W 12 20 2 1   W 68  2184   W 25 48809  F
12/10-19 64 26  6 32 57   W 12 18 2 1   W 67  2310   W 26 52867  F
12/10-20 67 26  6 30 61   W 10 16 2 1   W 66  2436   W 26 57060  F
12/10-21 65 26  6 27 66   W  9 15 2 1   W 62  2053   W 21 37532 P
12/10-22 60 26  6 25 70   W  8 13 2 1   W 58  1669   W 15 21945 P
12/10-23 58 30  9 23 74   W  7  7 2 1   W 54  1285 WNW  9 10299 P
12/11-00 61 30  9 24 72   W  7  7 2 1   W 59  1324 WNW  7  8541 P
12/11-01 66 30  9 26 68   W  7  7 2 1   W 63  1363   W  6  6661 P
12/11-02 69 30  9 26 68   W  7  7 2 1   W 68  1403   W  3  4657 P
12/11-03 64 30  9 23 75   W  7  7 2 1   W 66  1362   W  7  7689 P
12/11-04 55 30  9 21 78   W  8 13 2 1   W 63  1321   W  9 10532 P
12/11-05 50 25  5 21 74   W  8 13 2 1   W 61  1281   W 12 13185 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...DANKERS
REQUESTED BY...JAY STALNACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1603674.10/BOU


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