Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 031949
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR TRAP...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
141 PM MDT THU SEP 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1334 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE REGION
THROUGH FRIDAY.  SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE.  BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL, FROM ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER
INCH IN 30 MINUTES WILL OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...ALONG WITH FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS TO 35 MPH.  THE ACTIVITY
WILL SUBSIDE LATER IN THE EVENING.  MORE OF THE SAME ON FRIDAY WITH SIMILAR
TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITIES IN THE AFTERNOON ALONG WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
THUNDERSTORMS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-42%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 25 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 15 PERCENT LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1600. GOOD AFTER 1700.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0200...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2100...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........84%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    WEST 8-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-39%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-9 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8700-9700 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH AROUND
                    10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BEAR TRAP.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

09/03-13 87 39 17 70 34   W  5  5 2 4 SSE  6  9212 WSW  5 36681 P
09/03-14 90 38 16 70 35 WSW  7  7 2 4   S  6  8399   W  5 30388 P
09/03-15 93 40 18 69 38  SW  8 13 2 4 SSW  6  7586   W  3 24688 P
09/03-16 88 48 24 69 39  SW  8 13 2 4  SW  9  7474   W  7 43495  F
09/03-17 84 38 16 66 45  SW  7  7 2 4   W 13  7361 WNW  9 61726   G
09/03-18 79 35 13 64 50  SW  6  6 2 4  NW 16  7249 WNW 13 79382   G
09/03-19 79 35 13 61 56 WSW  6  6 2 4  NW 20  5637 WNW 12 58586  F
09/03-20 79 32 11 59 60 WSW  6  6 2 4  NW 22  4024 WNW 12 39584 P
09/03-21 79 20  4 56 66 WSW  6  6 2 3 NNW 24  2411 WNW 10 22377 P
09/03-22 61 20  4 54 71 WSW  7  7 2 3  NW 22  1890   W 12 19391 P
09/03-23 61 20  4 52 75 WSW  7  7 3 3 WNW 18  1368   W 13 15383 P
09/04-00 61  9  2 50 80 WSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 16   847 WSW 14 10354 P
09/04-01 61  9  2 50 79 WSW  9 14 3 1   W 16   811 WSW 16 11281 P
09/04-02 43  9  2 49 81 WSW  9 16 4 1   W 16   776   W 18 12087 P
09/04-03 43  9  2 48 83 WSW 10 16 4 1   W 16   740   W 20 12773 P
09/04-04 43  9  2 47 83 WSW 10 17 4 1 WSW 15   775   W 21 13754 P
09/04-05 43  9  2 46 84 WSW 10 17 4 1  SW 14   810   W 21 14770 P
09/04-06 52  7  1 47 80 WSW 10 16 4 1  SW 13   846   W 22 15819 P
09/04-07 52  7  1 50 73 WSW 10 17 4 1 SSW 13  1575   W 21 28272 P
09/04-08 52  7  1 55 63 WSW 10 17 4 1 SSW 12  2304   W 20 39634 P
09/04-09 52  7  1 61 52 WSW 10 16 4 1   S 12  3032   W 18 49902  F
09/04-10 52  7  1 65 43 WSW  9 15 4 1   S 12  4918 WSW 15 64577   G
09/04-11 52  7  1 68 36  SW  8 13 3 1 SSW 12  6804  SW 12 66704   G
09/04-12 81 38 16 70 32  SW  7  7 3 4 SSW 12  8690  SW  7 56285  F
09/04-13 81 38 16 71 32 SSW  7  7 3 4 SSW  8  9093 SSW  7 51459  F
09/04-14 81 38 16 71 33   S  7  7 3 4  SW  6  9496 SSE  6 45975  F
09/04-15 81 38 16 69 38 SSE  8 13 3 4 WSW  2  9898  SE  5 39833 P
09/04-16 81 38 16 67 42 SSE  8 14 3 4 SSW  5  9222 SSE  6 48982  F
09/04-17 81 38 16 65 47   S  9 14 2 4 SSE  8  8546 SSE  8 56391  F
09/04-18 88 31 10 63 52   S  9 15 2 4 ESE 16  7218   S  7 44993  F
09/04-19 88 31 10 60 60   S  9 14 2 4  SE 18  6329   S  9 47600  F
09/04-20 88 31 10 57 68   S  8 13 2 4 SSE 20  5440   S 10 47918  F
09/04-21 88 31 10 55 74   S  7  7 2 4   S 21  4551   S 12 45947  F
09/04-22 88 31 10 54 76 SSW  6  6 2 4   S 22  3766 SSW 10 34570 P
09/04-23 88 31 10 53 77  SW  6  6 2 4 SSW 23  2982  SW  9 24632 P
09/05-00 77 16  3 52 77 WSW  6  6 2 2  SW 23  2197 WSW  8 16134 P
09/05-01 77 16  3 51 78 WSW  6  6 2 2  SW 22  1788 WSW 10 15701 P
09/05-02 77 16  3 50 79 WSW  7  7 2 2 WSW 21  1379 WSW 12 14091 P
09/05-03 77 16  3 49 80 WSW  7  7 2 2 WSW 18   970 WSW 14 11304 P
09/05-04 77 16  3 48 81 WSW  7  7 2 2 WSW 16   974 WSW 14 11725 P
09/05-05 77 16  3 47 83 WSW  8  8 2 2  SW 14   978 WSW 14 12150 P
09/05-06 65 10  2 48 80 WSW  8 13 2 2  SW 13   982 WSW 15 12578 P
09/05-07 65 10  2 50 75 WSW  9 14 2 2  SW 14  1977   W 16 28129 P
09/05-08 65 10  2 53 68 WSW 10 16 2 2 SSW 16  2972   W 18 46514  F
09/05-09 65 10  2 57 59 WSW 10 16 2 2 SSW 18  3966   W 20 67733   G
09/05-10 65 10  2 62 49 WSW 10 16 2 2 SSW 21  5554 WSW 18 90608   G
09/05-11 65 10  2 66 41  SW  9 15 2 2 SSW 23  7142 WSW 18111057    V
09/05-12 64 22  4 69 36  SW  9 15 2 3  SW 24  8730  SW 17129079    V
09/05-13 64 22  4 71 33  SW  9 15 2 3  SW 23  9417  SW 17136794    V
09/05-14 64 22  4 71 33 SSW  9 15 3 3  SW 22 10104 SSW 16144152    V
09/05-15 64 22  4 71 32 SSW  9 15 3 3  SW 21 10790 SSW 16151155     E
09/05-16 64 22  4 70 33 SSW  9 15 3 3  SW 22 10420 SSW 17156337     E
09/05-17 64 22  4 69 35 SSW  9 15 3 3  SW 24 10050  SW 18160783     E
09/05-18 57 12  2 67 37 SSW  9 15 3 2  SW 28  9681  SW 20164493     E
09/05-19 57 12  2 64 41 SSW  9 14 3 2  SW 32  7456  SW 22140526    V
09/05-20 57 12  2 60 47 SSW  8 13 4 2  SW 36  5231  SW 24108304    V
09/05-21 57 12  2 57 52  SW  7  7 4 2  SW 39  3007  SW 26 67827   G
09/05-22 57 12  2 54 57  SW  7  7 3 2  SW 43  2659  SW 26 61580   G
09/05-23 57 12  2 52 60  SW  6  6 3 2 WSW 45  2311 WSW 28 54914  F
09/06-00 37  6  1 51 61  SW  6  6 2 1 WSW 46  1963 WSW 28 47828  F
09/06-01 37  6  1 50 62  SW  7  7 2 1 WSW 46  2096 WSW 29 52266  F
09/06-02 37  6  1 49 62 WSW  7  7 2 1  SW 46  2229   W 30 56855  F
09/06-03 37  6  1 48 62 WSW  8 14 2 1  SW 47  2361   W 30 61597   G
09/06-04 37  6  1 47 62 WSW 10 16 3 1  SW 51  2057   W 30 54357  F
09/06-05 37  6  1 46 63   W 12 18 4 1  SW 54  1752   W 31 46910  F
09/06-06 37  2  0 46 60   W 13 21 5 1  SW 59  1448   W 31 39254 P
09/06-07 37  2  0 48 54   W 14 22   1
09/06-08 37  2  0 51 46   W 15 24   1
09/06-09 37  2  0 54 40 WSW 16 26   1
09/06-10 37  2  0 56 36 WSW 17 28   1
09/06-11 37  2  0 58 32 WSW 18 29   1
09/06-12 32  4  1 60 29 WSW 18 30   1
09/06-13 32  4  1 62 27 WSW 18 29   1
09/06-14 32  4  1 64 25 WSW 17 28   1
09/06-15 32  4  1 65 23 WSW 16 26   1
09/06-16 32  4  1 65 23 WSW 15 24   1
09/06-17 32  4  1 64 24 WSW 14 22   1
09/06-18 25  4  1 63 24 WSW 13 21   1

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...COOPER
REQUESTED BY...ANNE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150903.BEART.02/BOU


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