Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 182359
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Green Mountain Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
459 PM MST Sun Feb 18 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 MST on February 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Moderate southwesterly flow aloft will continue
through tonight. Warm, dry and gusty conditions will persist
until 0200 then decrease towards dawn.  A shallow cold front will
approach the area from the northeast Monday morning.  At this time
it appears to be too shallow to reach the burn area, but if it does
then then surface winds may switch to an easterly wind component
late Monday morning with a better chance of showers.  If the front
reaches into the area there would be a better chance of just snow showers
versus a mix of rain and snow showers.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 27.
Max humidity........62%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7-13 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph
                    until early morning.
Mixing height.......4500-5500 ft AGL until 1900, then 2100-3100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 30-40 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 1800, then very good until
                    1900, then good until 2000, then fair until
                    0100, then good.

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(40-50%) until 1000, then mostly
                    cloudy. Slight chance of snow after 0800 until
                    1100, then chance of rain and snow until 1400.
CWR.................5 percent increasing to 10 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 41.
Min humidity........35%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 11-17 mph with gusts to around
                    28 mph.
Mixing height.......3600-4600 ft AGL until 1100, then 7800-8800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 30-40 mph until 1100, then 40-50 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 0900, then very good until 1000,
                    then excellent.


Fire Weather Table for Green Mountain Piles.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

02/17-17  0  0  0 45 16 WSW 10 16 3 1         4412 WSW 26 99861   G
02/17-18  1  0  0 37 24 WSW 12 18 3 1         3441 WSW 26 80130   G
02/17-19  1  0  0 37 24 WSW  6  7 3 1         2471 WSW 28 59139  F
02/17-20  7  0  0 38 20 ENE  6  7 3 1         1501 WSW 29 36889 P
02/17-21  8  0  0 33 21  SW 10 10 3 1         1488 WSW 30 39054 P
02/17-22  9  0  0 32 21 SSW  8  8 3 1         1475 WSW 32 41176  F
02/17-23 11  0  0 32 27  SW 17 28 3 1         1462 WSW 35 43255  F
02/18-00 11  0  0 33 26  SW 16 25 3 1         1452 WSW 36 45493  F
02/18-01 12  0  0 34 26  SW 26 41 3 1         1443 WSW 38 47699  F
02/18-02 17  0  0 35 26 WSW 26 41 3 1         1433 WSW 40 49871  F
02/18-03 16  0  0 35 28 WSW 28 44 3 1         1400 WSW 39 47441  F
02/18-04 16  0  0 35 28 WSW 26 44 3 1         1367 WSW 38 44800  F
02/18-05 16  0  0 35 29 WSW 26 41 2 1         1334 WSW 37 42232  F
02/18-06 16  0  0 34 30 WSW 23 37 2 1         1314 WSW 36 40439  F
02/18-07 17  0  0 34 30  SW 20 32 2 1         1294 WSW 35 38680 P
02/18-08 18  0  0 44 16  SW 18 30 2 1         1275 WSW 33 36957 P
02/18-09 16  0  0 47 15  SW 20 31 2 1         2598 WSW 39 88413   G
02/18-10 13  0  0 50 14 WSW 22 35 2 1         3921 WSW 45153210     E
02/18-11 11  0  0 53 13 WSW 24 39 2 1         5244 WSW 51231347     E
02/18-12 12  0  0 56 12 WSW 24 39 2 1         5977 WSW 49254396     E
02/18-13 13  0  0 57 11  SW 24 39 2 1         6710 WSW 47275160     E
02/18-14 14  0  0 59 12  SW 24 39 2 1         7774   W 46311485     E
02/18-15 15  0  0 57 14  SW 23 37 2 1         7037 WSW 45272936     E
02/18-16 17  0  0 55 16  SW 21 33 2 1         6300 WSW 44236276     E
02/18-17 18  0  0 51 18  SW 18 30 2 1         5563 WSW 41201506     E
02/18-18 15  0  0 47 22  SW 17 28 2 1         4377 WSW 39147196    V
02/18-19 11  0  0 43 28  SW 16 25 2 1         3191 WSW 36 99035   G
02/18-20 12  0  0 40 33  SW 15 24 2 1         2005 WSW 32 57023  F
02/18-21 11  0  0 39 35  SW 14 22 2 1         2009 WSW 32 55849  F
02/18-22 12  0  0 38 37  SW 13 21 2 1         2013 WSW 31 54670  F
02/18-23 12  2  0 37 38 WSW 12 18 2 1         2018 WSW 31 53484  F
02/19-00 12  2  0 36 41 WSW 10 16 2 1         2225 WSW 31 59009  F
02/19-01 19  2  0 35 44 WSW  9 15 2 1         2433 WSW 31 64537   G
02/19-02 25  2  0 33 49 WSW  8 13 2 1         2641 WSW 31 70069   G
02/19-03 27  2  0 32 51 WSW  7  7 2 1         2796 WSW 32 77071   G
02/19-04 29  2  0 31 52 WSW  7  7 2 1         2951 WSW 33 84393   G
02/19-05 31  2  0 29 55 WSW  7  7 2 1         3106 WSW 35 92036   G
02/19-06 36  2  0 28 58  SW  7  7 2 1         2997 WSW 33 87530   G
02/19-07 45  2  0 27 62 SSW  8  8 2 1         2888 WSW 33 83117   G
02/19-08 47 20  4 28 60   S  9 15 2 1         2779  SW 32 78797   G
02/19-09 54 20  4 30 55 SSW 13 20 2 1         4004  SW 36124992    V
02/19-10 62 20  4 34 46 SSW 16 26 3 1         5229  SW 39178201     E
02/19-11 76 31 10 37 40  SW 20 31 3 1         6454  SW 43238425     E
02/19-12 82 31 10 40 36  SW 22 35 3 1         7403  SW 43277457     E
02/19-13 75 31 10 41 35 SSW 23 37 4 1         8351  SW 44317512     E
02/19-14 64 31 10 40 37 SSW 22 35 4 1         9300  SW 45358590     E
02/19-15 71 31 10 38 41 SSW 18 29 4 1         8849  SW 45343763     E
02/19-16 79 31 10 34 49   S 13 21 4 1         8398 SSW 45328674     E
02/19-17 86 56 32 30 58   S  8 13 4 1         7947 SSW 45313325     E
02/19-18 86 56 32 25 70   S  6  6 4 1         6271 SSW 39210829     E
02/19-19 86 56 32 21 81 ESE  6  6 3 1         4596 SSW 32127801    V
02/19-20 86 61 39 17 92   E  6  6 3 1         2920   S 25 65094   G
02/19-21 85 61 39 15 94   E  6  6 3 1         2711 SSW 22 50872  F
02/19-22 84 61 39 14 91   E  5  5 3 1         2503 SSW 17 38122 P
02/19-23 83 41 18 14 84   E  5  5 3 1         2295 SSW 14 26843 P
02/20-00 82 41 18 13 80  NE  5  5 3 1         2423 SSW 15 30476 P
02/20-01 79 41 18 12 80  NW  5  5 3 1         2552  SW 15 34336 P
02/20-02 78 41 18 11 80 WNW  5  5 3 1         2680  SW 16 38422 P
02/20-03 75 41 18 10 80   W  5  5 3 1         3224  SW 21 57530  F
02/20-04 70 41 18  9 83 WSW  5  5 2 1         3767  SW 24 80454   G
02/20-05 67 30  9  8 83 WSW  5  5 2 1         4310  SW 29107195    V
02/20-06 65 30  9  7 83 WSW  5  5 2 1         4872 WSW 28117983    V
02/20-07 61 30  9  7 76 WSW  5  5 2 1         5433 WSW 28128041    V
02/20-08 59 30  9  8 69 WSW  5  5 2 1         5994 WSW 26137369    V
02/20-09 61 30  9 10 60 WSW  5  5 2 1         6748 WSW 23137860    V
02/20-10 64 30  9 13 48 WSW  6  6 2 1         7501 WSW 21134603    V
02/20-11 66 31 10 16 42  SW  6  6 2 1         8255 WSW 17127598    V
02/20-12 67 31 10 19 39 SSW  6  6 3 1         7998 WSW 17119088    V
02/20-13 68 31 10 20 39 SSE  6  6 3 1         7741  SW 16110871    V
02/20-14 68 31 10 19 42  SE  6  6 3 1         7484 SSW 16102945    V
02/20-15 73 31 10 17 49 ESE  6  6 3 1         6102   S 14 73839   G
02/20-16 83 31 10 13 61   E  5  5 3 1         4720  SE 12 49307  F
02/20-17 88 32 11 11 69   E  5  5 3 1         3337 ESE 10 29346 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...COOPER
REQUESTED BY...Craig Brown
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800371.22/BOU



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