Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX

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000
FNUS74 KBRO 232310
FWSBRO

SPOT FORECAST FOR PALM TREE FARM...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
510 PM CST MON JAN 23 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1800 CST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR LIGHT SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL REBOUND BACK UP TO AROUND THE 85 PERCENT MARK LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. ON TUESDAY THE MOISTURE WILL
GRADUALLY RETURN TO THE EASTERN ZONES ON INCREASING SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. LOWER HUMIDITIES WILL PERSIST OUT WEST.
AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS UNLIKELY THAT RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA
WILL BE MET ON TUESDAY...THOUGH A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FOR AREAS
GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 281 IS POSSIBLE. THE ELEVATED
FIRE DANGER IS ALSO POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY AS DRY NORTH WINDS WILL
BLOW IN BEHIND A COLD FRONT. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED UNTIL FRIDAY
NIGHT OR SATURDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........74 AT REQUEST...MIN 61.
RH..................24 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 100-300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............74  70  66  63  62  61  61  61  61  61  61  61
RH..............24  32  42  52  61  66  70  75  79  83  85  85
20 FT WIND DIR..130 140 150 150 150 160 160 160 160 160 160 160
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   10  10  10  9   9   10  10  12  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.130 140 150 150 150 160 160 160 160 160 160 160
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.150 150 160 160 160 160 160 160 150 150 150 160
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   7   8   9   9   8   7   7   8   8   8   8

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 89.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 21 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1900-2800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 31 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............62  64  67  71  75  80  84  87  89  89  86  81
RH..............84  83  80  72  60  48  40  36  35  36  42  52
20 FT WIND DIR..160 160 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 160
20 FT WIND SPD..13  14  16  17  20  20  21  21  21  20  18  17
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  25  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
EYE LVL WND DIR.160 160 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 160
EYE LVL WND SPD.7   7   8   10  10  10  11  11  11  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  25  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.4 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.160 160 170 170 170 180 180 180 180 180 180 170
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   13  16  21  25  29  31  31  29  26  25  24

$$
FORECASTER...SPEECE
REQUESTED BY...REY NAVARRO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1700692.0/BRO
.EMAIL REYNALDO_NAVARRO@FWS.GOV


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