Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 200838
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 326 WOLF MILL...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
438 AM EDT FRI MAY 20 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

TODAY WILL BE SUNNY AND DRY WITH LIGHT WINDS. MINIMUM RH`S WILL
DROP INTO THE 30S AND PERHAPS 20S BY AFTERNOON.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6500-7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............0   0   0   19  24  24  24  25
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................60  65  67  70  70  71  71  71
RH..................49  44  41  36  36  35  35  35
20 FT WIND DIR......N   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....            10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.5 6.5 7.3 7.5 7.5 7.6 7.5 7.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   9   8   7   5   3   2   2
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............30  42  42  42  42  64  64  64  96  96  96  96
WEATHER COV.........                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........                                RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................71  68  64  62  60  58  57  57  56  56  55  54
RH..................36  42  53  58  61  66  67  68  69  71  76  79
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                    5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......6.5 5.6 4.4 2.8 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   6   7   6   3   2   2   3   3   3   2   2
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   4   4   4   5   5   4   4   3   3   4   4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1700-2600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 8 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTHEAST 13 TO
                    22 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............96  96  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52  53  52  53  54  55  55  56  57  57  58  57
RH..................85  85  86  86  86  86  85  79  77  76  74  76
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5       10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   NE  E   E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   2   3   8   13  17  20  22  22  21  20  18
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP
REQUESTED BY...STEVE BERNARDI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160520.SGL32.01/CTP



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