Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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FNUS73 KDMX 171549
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Fogle wheat...Iowa DNR
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
1049 AM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 CDT on August 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...
RH recoveries this morning were excellent...exceeding 90 percent. RH
values should remain in the 40 to 50 percent range this afternoon.
Only real concern/impact will be from the slightly stronger
winds... which will be blowing from the NW at around 15 to 25 mph.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming mostly
                    cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming sunny
                    (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 17 to 22 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......600-2300 ft AGL increasing to 4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 17 mph becoming north around 0 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........9   8   6   5   5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............79  81  83  83  83
RH..............52  47  43  41  40
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..20  22  20  20  18
20 FT WIND GUST.30  30  30  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.6 4.9 5.1 5.4 4.9
MIXNG WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N
MIXNG WIND SPD..0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Kotenberg
Requested by...Natural Resource Tech 2
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1714507.0/DMX
.EMAIL josh.rusk@dnr.iowa.gov



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