Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 241930
FWSEPZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR WESTHALL 2...NM-ADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
130 PM MDT SUN JUL 24 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1301 MDT ON JULY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE REGION....WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPRESS
STORM ACTIVITY SOMEWHAT TODAY AND THE FIRST PART OF MONDAY.  STORMS
WILL INCREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON...AS ANOTHER SURGE OF MONSOON DRIVEN MOISTURE
APPROACHES FROM THE EAST.  FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY
DOWNBURST WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE THE MAIN THREATS THIS AFTERNOON.
ADD HEAVIER RAINFALL WITH RAPID RUNOFF TO THIS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
HIGHS WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THIS AFTERNOON.



.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THROUGH 1500L...THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-100.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 11000-11500 FT AGL MID AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO
                    9500 FT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 KNOTS.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (94300 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL EARLY...DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 KNOTS.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (51800 KNOT-FT) KNOT-FT EARLY...BECOMING
                    POOR (1050 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 10200-10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 KNOTS.
MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD (113700 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...MAGGIE ROBERTS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160724.WESTH.02/EPZ



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