Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
000
FNUS75 KFGZ 232154
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for LAVENDER...ARIZONA STATE FIRE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
254 PM MST Tue May 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 MST on May 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Expect very dry conditions, and breezy west to
southwest winds on Wednesday. On Thursday, a developing trough will
cause winds to increase further, likely leading to critical fire
weather conditions. A Fire Weather Watch is in effect for the fire
site on Thursday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 10 mph through 6 pm. After 6 pm,
                    light and variable.
Lal.................1.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor (100 knot-ft).
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......6200 ft agl early in the evening decreasing to
                    100 ft agl in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph decreasing to around 5
                    mph late in the evening, then shifting to the
                    northeast after midnight shifting to the
                    southeast late in the night.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........7 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds through 9 am. After 9 am, west from
                    15 to 20 mph with gusts from 20 to 30 mph.
Lal.................1.
Haines Index........6 high.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent (244500 knot-ft).
Clearing Index......2445.
Mixing height.......300 ft agl increasing to 13000 ft agl after 9 am.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to west 20 to 25
                    mph in the afternoon.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts from 15
                    to 25 mph through 7 pm. After 7 pm, southwest
                    winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
Lal.................1.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor (300 knot-ft).
Clearing Index......3.
Mixing height.......8200 ft agl early in the evening decreasing to
                    100 ft agl in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming south 5 to 10
                    mph after midnight.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........7 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts from
                    35 to 45 mph.
Lal.................1.
Haines Index........6 high.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent (312000 knot-ft).
Clearing Index......3120.
Mixing height.......900 ft agl increasing to 11600 ft agl after 9 am.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest 25
                    to 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...RICKEY
Requested by...BELEN NAVARRO
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1709647.1/FGZ
.EMAIL aidc@dffm.az.gov



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.