Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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815
FNUS75 KFGZ 041549
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SPONSELLER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
849 AM MST WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0827 MST ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
NEAR CRITICAL WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.
WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE FIRE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (113500 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......1135.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........47 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (1500 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......15.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO
                    200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
                    MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (275700 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......2757.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS INCREASING TO 25 TO 30
                    KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...SUK
REQUESTED BY...IAN VALLEY IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160504.SPONS.01/FGZ



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