Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FNUS74 KFWD 231349
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Research Plots...usfws
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
749 AM CST Tue Jan 23 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on January 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds shouldn`t be as strong as they were on Monday and speeds
should generally be around 15mph and out of the north. Minimum
afternoon relative humidity values should fall into the 20s.
Overnight into Wednesday should climb into the upper 70s/low 80s.
Winds will be light and variable overnight into Wednesday.
Humidity values on Wednesday afternoon will be a bit higher, but
only into the 30s. No rain is expected through the period.



.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......100-1800 ft AGL increasing to 1900-3600 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   5   6   7   8   11  15  18  21  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............34  39  43  48  50  53  56  57  58  57
RH..............56  46  41  34  34  29  25  23  25  25
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 2.7 1.9
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Transp wind spd.12  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  10  9
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 31.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......100-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 2 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........27  24  20  16  13  9   5   4   3   1   6   10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............51  47  46  43  43  40  38  37  36  33  33  32
RH..............32  38  42  47  47  50  54  56  61  69  69  72
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  N   N   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   6   5   3   2   2   2   3   3   3
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......100-1200 ft AGL increasing to 2100-3600 ft AGL
                    late in the morning, then increasing to
                    3700-4900 ft AGL early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 2400 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  13  11  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............31  31  32  39  46  51  55  57  58  59  58  56
RH..............75  78  81  64  51  42  38  34  33  30  32  32
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   NW  W   SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   1   1   1   2   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   NW  W   SW  SW  S
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.2 2.1 3.0 3.6 4.3 4.9 3.7 2.4
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   W   W   SW  S
Transp wind spd.3   5   6   7   7   5   3   3   3   5   6   7
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Bain
Requested by...Baker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800706.0/FWD
.EMAIL richard_baker@fws.gov



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