Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FNUS75 KGJT 201214
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROAN PLATEAU...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
614 AM MDT MON OCT 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0620 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM INTO THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTH WHICH WILL ALLOW SOME VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM AFTER 3PM. MOST CONVECTION WILL STAY TO THE
SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE BUT THE CHANCE DOES EXIST SO KEPT IN THE
FORECAST. INSTABILITY INCREASES SLIGHTLY TODAY WHICH WILL MAKE
SMOKE DISPERSAL FAIR THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHWEST. VERY SLIGHT CHANCE EXISTS
FOR SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS OR A QUICK STORM OVERNIGHT BUT
AGAIN...MOST ACTIVITY WILL BE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE BURN SITE. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE BURN SITE TUESDAY INCREASING CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WHILE CAUSING WINDS TO PICK UP FROM ABOUT
NOON ONWARDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 14
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...RUSTY STARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.ROANP.02/GJT



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