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Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

000
FNUS75 KGJT 230416
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR GRIZZLY RIDGE TRAINING...ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1016 PM MDT WED MAY 22 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1654 MDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE TODAY...THEN REMAIN
STRONG THROUGH FRIDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH PARKS ALONG THE
WEST COAST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. VERY STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
MIX TO THE SURFACE BY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL RELAX SOMEWHAT ON
FRIDAY...BUT STRONG AFTERNOON GUSTS WILL AGAIN BE EXPECTED. ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP
INTO THE MID TEENS ON THURSDAY AND THE LOWER TEENS ON FRIDAY.


.THURSDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY
                    (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. SOUTH WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS 18-25
                    MPH UNTIL NOON...THEN INCREASING TO 18-25 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO UP TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 1050 BY THE LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0930...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 10400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 42 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........38-43%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    TO 35 MPH...DECREASING TO 10-15 MPH BY
                    2200.
CLEARING INDEX......200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INITIALLY 3000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1000 FT
                    AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 39 MPH DECREASING TO 24 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 12-18 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 1050 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 930...THEN INCREASING TO
                    8800 FT AGL IN AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH INCREASING TO 28 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS DEETS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130522.GRIZZ.01/GJT