Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 290227
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR JUANITA...DURANGO DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
827 PM MDT FRI AUG 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1951 MDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH HUMIDITY RECOVERY TO NEAR
70 PERCENT BY SUNRISE. MOISTURE INCREASES ON SOUTHERLY FLOW OVERNIGHT
AND THIS WILL BRING STORM FORMATION TO THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BY
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. CONFIDENCE BELOW 20 PERCENT THAT STORMS WILL FORM
NEAR FIRE SITE. OUTFLOW WINDS ARE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-75%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH OR LESS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH THROUGH 1000 THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE NEAR 5 MPH THEN WEST AT 7 TO 12
                    MPH FROM THE WEST AFTER 1300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...RABINOWITZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150828.JUANI.01/GJT



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