Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS73 KGRR 021325
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR PINES POINT UNIT 26...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
925 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
IN GENERAL...WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHEAST AT 5-10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
A LAKE BREEZE MAY TURN THE WIND DIRECTION OUT OF THE NORTH BY 5 PM AND
NORTHWEST AFTER THAT. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME PARTLY SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 60S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 5-10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 9 MPH
                    LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 7300-7800
                    FT AGL DECREASING TO 4600 FT AGL IN THE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-1100 (POOR TO EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........38     54     60     65
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     61     61     61
RH..............47     41     41     42
20 FT WIND......NE 10  NE 10  N 9    N 13
20 FT GUST......              10     15
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST UP
                    TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 1 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 1 TO
                    2 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR TO POOR).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 14 TO
                    23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600-8100 FT
                    AGL...THEN DECREASING TO 4900 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE DAY DECREASING TO 2700 FT AGL IN THE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-1700 (POOR TO EXCELLENT).

$$
FORECASTER...WEBB
REQUESTED BY...BEN WAGNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160502.PINES.01/GRR



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