Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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FNUS74 KHUN 251135
FWSHUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE CUT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
635 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE BURN AREA TODAY, AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ENTRENCHED OVER THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC COAST.
WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST, SOUTHERLY WINDS NEAR 10 MPH ARE
EXPECTED LATER TODAY, WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES THIS MORNING AROUND 75 PERCENT WILL LOWER CLOSER TO
50 PERCENT NEAR IGNITION TIME, AND LOWER INTO THE 40 PERCENT RANGE
THIS AFTERNOON. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY
FOR THE REMAINDER OF TODAY, AS AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE
UPPER 80S. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED ON THU. RAINFALL IS
GENERALLY NOT EXPECTED BACK INTO THE FORECAST UNTIL FRI, WHEN WEAK
UPPER DISTURBANCES BEGIN TO MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............79     83     85     84
RH..............53     44     40     42
20 FT WIND DIR..190    190    190    190
20 FT WIND SPD..7      8      8      7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....5100   5900   5900   4400
TRANSP WIND DIR.190    190    190    190
TRANSP WIND SPD.13     15     15     14
DISPERSION IDX..71     66     66     74
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............83     77     71     68     65     63
RH..............46     59     73     80     87     93
20 FT WIND DIR..180    180    180    190    190    190
20 FT WIND SPD..7      5      3      5      5      3
20 FT WIND GUST.10            5                    5
MIX HGT (FT)....3600   2000   300    300    200    200
TRANSP WIND DIR.180    180    180    190    190    190
TRANSP WIND SPD.14     13     13     13     14     13
DISPERSION IDX..60     33     5      6      6      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     69     78     83     86     87
RH..............97     80     61     46     40     40
20 FT WIND DIR..190    190    200    190    190    180
20 FT WIND SPD..3      3      6      8      8      8
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5             10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....200    2000   3700   5300   6200   5300
TRANSP WIND DIR.190    190    190    190    190    190
TRANSP WIND SPD.12     10     13     16     17     17
DISPERSION IDX..5      5      6      66     79     71
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10

$$

FORECASTER...GRIFFIN
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG MOORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160525.BLUEC.01/HUN



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