Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FNUS73 KICT 211211
FWSICT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TALLGRASS SOUTHWEST...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
711 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY TODAY...REACHING UP TO 10
MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON. SUNNY SKIES THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES BY AFTERNOON. ZERO CHANCES OF
RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 13
                    TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........7   9   10  13  16  18  21  24  27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............62  67  73  73  75  76  76  75  74
RH..............69  60  51  43  43  44  46  49  55
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5       10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.7 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.2 3.4 2.6
MIXNG WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
MIXNG WIND SPD..8   9   9   9   9   10  13  16  18
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........27     32     36     41     44     47
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     64     61     59     57     56
RH..............55     66     70     73     76     82
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 5   SE 6   SE 6   SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1900   800    300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......SE 18  SE 17  SE 17  SE 18  SE 16  SE 13
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3200-4700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........50        49        49        62
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............54        61        71        75
RH..............89        77        60        53
20 FT WIND......SE 5      S 7G15    S 10G25   S 12G30
MIX HGT (FT)....300       300       3800      4700
MIXNG WIND......SE 12     S 17      S 24      S 24
CWR.............0         0         0         0
HAINES INDEX....4         5         4         4

$$
FORECASTER...KLEINSASSER
REQUESTED BY...KRISTEN HASE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.TALLG.01/ICT






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