Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 111404
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for CREEK...LAC
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
604 AM PST Mon Dec 11 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1700 PST on December 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...Weakening offshore flow and a very dry airmass will
remain in place over the Creek Fire area today. Winds will remain
offshore today. The offshore flow will increase slightly Tuesday.
Very low humidities with very poor overnight recoveries are expected.
Daytime high temperatures will remain stable in the upper 70`s, with
overnight lows decreasing somewhat as the offshore flow weakens.

Widespread elevated fire weather conditions and prolonged very dry
conditions will continue through much of the coming week...likely
through Thursday. Weak onshore flow is forecast by Friday, which
would cause slowly recovering humidities. Offshore
flow...however...is forecast to return next weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....77-79.
Min humidity........5-6 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 4 to 8 mph with gusts up to
                    12 mph early in the morning, becoming light
                    and variable late morning into early afternoon,
                    then northeast 4 to 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 8 to 15 mph with gusts to 22
                    mph early in the morning, becoming southeast
                    4 to 6 mph by late morning, then becoming
                    northeast 5 to 10 mph late in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph becoming east 10 mph.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........8-10 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 2 to 5 mph with gusts to 8 mph
                    increasing to 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 13 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph
                    in the evening increasing to 8 to 15 mph with
                    gusts to 25 mph overnight.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph
                    increasing to 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph
                    after midnight.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL decreasing to 1000 ft AGL in the
                    evening.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........5-7 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 12 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 22
                    mph.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL increasing to 3900 ft AGL early in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.

$$

Forecaster...RORKE
Requested by...Lyle Koegler, SITL Type 3 IMT
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1719815.0/LOX
.EMAIL lylekoegler@gmail.com



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