Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 032237
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLAME FRONT SIMULATOR NOV 28 - DEC 8...FOREST SERVICE - NTDP, SAN DIMAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
237 PM PST SAT DEC 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON DECEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


.DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA ON
SUNDAY...BUT WILL PEAK WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS OVER THE
RIDGES SURROUNDING THE INCIDENT AREA IN THE MORNING HOURS.
OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL BE POOR...LEADING TO FAIRLY LOW
VALUES AT IGNITION TIME ON SUNDAY. IN THE AFTERNOON...A RETURN TO
WEAK ONSHORE FLOW WILL ALLOW HUMIDITES TO RISE A FEW PERCENT ABOVE
SATURDAY`S VALUES.

AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL MAINTAIN
NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY WITH INCREASING
HUMIDITIES. WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW WEDNESDAY AMD
THURSDAY AS OFFSHORE FLOW RETURNS.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59 AT IGNITION...MAX AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PECENT AT IGNITION...MIN 11-15 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH
                    IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 2 TO 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST WINDS 8-15 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 25
                    IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST 6-12 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 20 MPH BECOMING NORTH 10 MPH.



$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...KEN KEMPTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1603696.5/LOX
.EMAIL KKEMPTER@FS.FED.US



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