Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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FNUS71 KLWX 030845
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OVENTOP SEARCH  SAR...USDI - NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
445 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0433 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY
BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY...BUT LOW PRESSURE WILL IMPACT
THE AREA DURING THE LATTER PORTION OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE.
CWR.................60 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (5100-17300 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)       6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..........100    100    100    95     80     84
WEATHER COV......LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP.............60     61     63     65     68     68
RH...............93     90     87     81     76     76
20 FT WIND.......NW 2   NW 2   N 3    N 3    N 4    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST..4      4      4      4      7      4
CWR..............60     70     70     70     80     80
VRATE KT-FT/1000.5      10     7      8      11     17

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG
                    LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CWR.................80 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (100-12700 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)       6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)..........83     76     80     83     88     89
WEATHER COV......DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RN/FG  RN/FG
TEMP.............67     63     58     54     52     50
RH...............73     81     86     93     93     93
20 FT WIND.......N 3    N 2    N 2    N 2    N 2    NW 2
20 FT WIND GUST..4      4      4      4      4      4
CWR..............80     40     40     40     20     20
VRATE KT-FT/1000.13     6      3      1      0      0

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE
                    MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
CWR.................20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5400-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH
                    LATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-46200 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING TO
                    GOOD TO GOOD (52700-59900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)       6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..........88     86     88     88     86     91
WEATHER COV......S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE.....RN/FG  RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP.............50     53     58     62     65     65
RH...............93     89     77     67     63     60
20 FT WIND.......NW 2   N 2    N 2    NE 2   E 3    SE 4
20 FT WIND GUST..4      4      4      4      4
CWR..............20     70     70     70     70     70
VRATE KT-FT/1000.0      0      11     38     53     59

$$
FORECASTER...WOODCOCK
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN SIKES
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20160503.OVENT.01/LWX



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