Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
000
FNUS74 KLZK 281128
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRACE CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
628 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

PATCHY LIGHT RAIN IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING...WITH
PRECIPITATION MOSTLY ENDING BY THIS AFTERNOON. DRY CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
RETURNING SUNDAY NIGHT AS A NEW COLD FRONT ARRIVES FROM THE
NORTH. WINDS THIS WEEKEND WILL NOT BE STRONG...AND AFTERNOON
HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICALLY LOW LEVELS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4510 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3200 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7
                    MPH.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RN
TEMP............50  51  52  53  54  54
RH..............55  54  53  52  51  52
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.7   7   7   7   7   7
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.4   4   4   4   4   4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  12  12  12  10  10
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............53  52  50  48  47  46  45  45  44  43  43  42
RH..............53  56  59  61  63  63  63  64  66  68  70  71
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   11
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   6
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 22 TO 24 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5543 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3800 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............42  41  45  50  54  57  61  64  66  67  68  68
RH..............73  74  66  60  54  51  49  48  47  46  47  50
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   8   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.11  11  8   7   7   8   11  11  11  8   7   7
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   5   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.6   6   5   4   4   5   6   6   6   5   4   4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
TRANSP WIND SPD.24  24  24  23  23  22  22  22  22  22  22  23
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...46
REQUESTED BY...USFS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150328.TRACE.01/LZK






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.