Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 241342
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR PATTERSON SPRINGS GLADE...U.S.FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
742 AM CST FRI FEB 24 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IMMEDIATELY.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING. INITIALLY
WEST WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 12-15 MPH, GUSTING TO
25 MPH AT TIMES. EXPECT NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 50S
TODAY, WITH A MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY NEAR 40%. GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY MORNING. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO AROUND 65% TONIGHT. MUCH COOLER AND DRIER
AIR WILL SETTLE OVER THE AREA ON SATURDAY WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FALLING TO 30%.

.TODAY...

TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 3300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).MISSING.
STABILITY CLASS.....C.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.
LVORI...............1.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC  MC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............53  53  53  53  52  52  51  48
RH..............55  52  48  44  43  39  39  42
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..12  12  15  15  15  15  15  15
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.7   7   9   9   9   9   9   9
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  15  17  18  21  22  22  23
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 21.
RH..................MAX 66 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 23 TO 31 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 3700 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).MISSING.
STABILITY CLASS.....C.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH.
LVORI...............1.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............45  41  38  36  34  33  31  29  28  27  26  25
RH..............45  50  54  56  58  57  58  61  62  63  63  64
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
EYE LVL WND GST.25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.23  25  26  29  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  31
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SATURDAY...

TEMPERATURE.........MAX 41.
RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 9
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 4600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).MISSING.
STABILITY CLASS.....C.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
LVORI...............1.
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............24  24  26  28  31  34  36  38  39  40  39  38
RH..............65  66  62  58  49  43  38  34  32  30  31  32
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..13  13  13  13  13  13  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  25  25  25  25  20  20  20  20  20  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7
EYE LVL WND GST.25  25  25  25  25  25  20  20  20  20  20  20
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.31  31  30  28  25  22  20  17  16  14  12  9
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$

FORECASTER...JOHNSON
REQUESTED BY...CHAD LUNSFORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.EMAIL CLLUNSFORD@FS.FED.US



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