Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FNUS74 KMAF 230945
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR COYOTE...NM-ADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
445 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0257 MDT ON MAY 23.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
CDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
LITTLE CHANGE IN DAY TO DAY WEATHER PATTERN WITH VERY DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUING WEST OF DRYLINE.  MINIMUM RH TODAY LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
DAYTIME HEATING WILL RESULT IN 20FT WINDS INCREASING ABOVE 20 MPH BY
AFTERNOON AS STRONGER WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN... GUSTY CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.  SIMILAR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TUESDAY WITH A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT.  NO CHANGE IN PATTERN EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-9 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 23 TO 33 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (266000 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........PTCLDY       PTCLDY       MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0            0            10
TEMP............64           71           81
RH..............23           16           11
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           W            W
20 FT WIND SPD..21           24           33
20 FT WIND GUST.25           35           45
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100       3500         9700
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           W            W
TRANS WIND SPD..15           17           23
VENT CAT........POOR         GOOD         EXCLNT
LAL.............1            1            1
HAINES INDEX....6            5            4

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........17-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (103500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (0 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....10           10           10
TEMP............83           77           68
RH..............8            11           16
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           W            SW
20 FT WIND SPD..30           17           20
20 FT WIND GUST.40           25           28
MIX HGT (FT)....10000        BLW100       BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           W            SW
TRANS WIND SPD..22           15           17
VENT CAT........VYGOOD       POOR         POOR
HAINES INDEX....5            6            5

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-7 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (285500 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....10           10           10
TEMP............60           69           78
RH..............22           14           8
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           SW           SW
20 FT WIND SPD..15           24           35
20 FT WIND GUST.20           35           50
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100       4000         8600
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           W            SW
TRANS WIND SPD..13           15           23
VENT CAT........POOR         GOOD         EXCLNT
LAL.............1            1            1
HAINES INDEX....5            5            4

$$

FORECASTER...CAIN
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160523.COYOT.01/MAF


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