Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 121247
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Otter Creek Rx...National Park Service
National Weather Service Miami FL
747 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on December 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry and cool weather is expected today, although highs will warm
to near 70 degrees this afternoon. Winds will increase and become
west around 10 mph in the early afternoon. Dispersion will be very good by
the afternoon hours today. Min RH today will be near 50 percent,
well above critical levels.

A dry cold front is expected to pass through South Florida this
evening. It will pass through the prescribed burn site sometime
between 8pm and midnight. There won`t be much fanfare with the
front, except that winds will shift gradually from west to
northwest. Winds will be relatively light this evening during that
time.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming west 6 to 10 mph early.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......500-2100 ft AGL...increasing to 2000-2800 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 10 mph...increasing to 13 to 22 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6...increasing to 19 early,...then increasing
                    to 33 early in the afternoon...increasing to 50
                    early in the afternoon...increasing to
                    64...decreasing to 40 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   2   2   2   22  22  22  41  41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............49  54  60  64  66  68  70  71  70  67
RH..............81  67  55  52  54  54  53  51  55  63
20 ft wind dir..NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 ft wind dir..330 300 280 280 270 270 270 270 270 270
20 ft wind spd..1   2   3   6   8   9   10  10  9   8
20 ft wind gust.2       5   7   10  12  13  13  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.8 1.4 2.1 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.2   6   8   10  13  16  18  22  22  17
Dispersion idx..3   5   8   19  33  47  52  64  64  40
LVORI...........5   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......300-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 2 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....15...decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41  20  20  20  7   7   7   1   1   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  56  54  52  50  49  50  50  48  48  47  46
RH..............86  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 98  89  86  83
20 ft wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 ft wind dir..260 250 260 270 270 280 290 300 300 310 310 310
20 ft wind spd..6   3   3   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 ft wind gust.7   5   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10  5   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   3
Dispersion idx..15  2   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
LVORI...........4   9   10  10  10  10  9   9   8   6   6   5
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming north 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 2 to 9 mph...increasing to 6 to 12 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....4...increasing to 13 late in the
                    morning,...then increasing to 21 around
                    noon...decreasing to 11 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........1      0      1      1      0      0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............46     49     59     62     65     64
RH..............79     66     45     37     31     31
20 ft wind dir..NW     NW     N      NW     NW     N
20 ft wind dir..310    320    340    330    330    340
20 ft wind spd..2      2      6      7      8      6
20 ft wind gust.       4      7      10     10     7
MIX HGT (FT)....300    700    1500   1800   1800   1500
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 2   NW 6   N 12   N 10   N 8    N 7
Dispersion idx..1      6      23     23     19     14
LVORI...........4      3      2      2      2      2
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Hagen
Requested by...Orlando Genao
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719867.0/MFL


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