Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FNUS72 KMFL 312222
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOBLES GRADE FIRE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
622 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1800 EDT ON MAY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (305) 229-4522, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS AT LESS THAN 5 MPH EXPECTED THIS EVENING,
THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST TO NORTH LESS THAN 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF WEDNESDAY. WINDS GRADUALLY
BECOME EAST-SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING, THEN
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS IN AND NEAR THE STORMS.

DISPERSION WILL BE POOR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING, THEN
IMPROVE TO POOR TO FAIR BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........79 AT REQUEST...MIN 70.
RH..................73 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 1900-3400 FT
                    AGL...DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL UNTIL JUST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 1 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....16...DECREASING TO 2 UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............6.
CEILING (FT)........3500...INCREASING TO 25000.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........80  80  77  77  77  63  63  63  49  49  49  49
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO
TEMP............79  79  78  76  75  75  74  73  73  72  72  71
RH..............73  75  76  82  84  87  89  91  91  94  95  97
20 FT WIND DIR..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   NE  NE
20 FT WIND DIR..100 120 120 120 130 130 120 100 090 080 050 040
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 1.9 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
MIXNG WIND DIR..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   NE  NE
MIXNG WIND SPD..7   6   5   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
DISPERSION IDX..18  13  3   2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1
LVORI...........2   3   3   4   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   9
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
CEILING (KFT)...3.5 3.5 17  17  17  17  17  17  25  25  25  25

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 91.
RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4400-5100 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 1 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6...INCREASING TO 20 EARLY.
LVORI...............6.
CEILING (FT)........25000...DECREASING TO 3000.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 73.
RH..................MAX 97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1600 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 2 TO 3
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....28...DECREASING TO 4 UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............5.
CEILING (FT)........3000...INCREASING TO 25000.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 92.
RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4300-5400 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4...INCREASING TO 25.
LVORI...............6.
CEILING (FT)........25000...DECREASING TO 4000 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MOLLEDA
REQUESTED BY...BYRON HART
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE



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