Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS72 KMFL 082125
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTHERN GLADES TRIANGLE MIAMI-DADE...SFWMD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
425 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EST ON DECEMBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (305) 229-4522, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A STORM OR TWO,
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NEAR OR ACROSS THE BURN AREA THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. IF A SHOWER DOES
MOVE OVERHEAD, IT WILL LIKELY BE SLOW MOVING AND PRODUCE MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAINFALL. A SEABREEZE HAS DEVELOPED AND PUSHED JUST
INLAND OF THE FIRE, AND WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MORE
SOUTHEASTERLY AROUND 5-8 MPH, BUT MAY BE VARIABLE AT TIMES INTO
THIS EVENING. FRONT MOVING INTO THE REGION IS NOT EXPECTED TO
REACH THE FIRE OVERNIGHT, AND SOME LOCAL GROUND FOG MAY BE
POSSIBLE. BOTH LOW LEVEL AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BECOME MORE
NORTHERLY LATE TONIGHT, BUT REMAIN LIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE IN THE EVENING. WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5
TO 8 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.
LVORI...............7.
CEILING (FT)........12000.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........82  91  91  91  86  86  86  92  92  92  88  88
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............72  69  68  68  68  67  66  66  67  66  65  64
RH..............97  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  NW  NW   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND DIR..130 130 130 350 340 000 000 000 000 000 000 000
20 FT WIND SPD..8   6   5   2   2   3   3   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.10  8   8   5   5   5   7   8   10  10  10  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
MIXNG WIND DIR..NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
MIXNG WIND SPD..6   6   6   7   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   9
DISPERSION IDX..4   4   5   5   7   7   8   9   10  10  11  10
LVORI...........6   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6
CHC OF PCPN (%).50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
CEILING (KFT)...12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 11 TO 15
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0700,...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1000 AGL INCREASING TO 1800-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....14...INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO TO 51 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
CEILING (FT)........12000...DECREASING TO 4500.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 22 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 TO 12 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....33...DECREASING TO 15.
LVORI...............1.
CEILING (FT)........4500.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING TO 22 TO 26
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....15...INCREASING TO 42.
LVORI...............5.
CEILING (FT)........4000.

$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTINA STYLIANOS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1604061.0/MFL



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.