Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FNUS72 KMHX 211547
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Roanoke Marsh...USFWS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1147 AM EDT Tue Mar 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on March 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
A few showers are possible through 1 PM otherwise it will be
dry during the daylight hours.  Winds will remain light and
relative humidity values will remain above 50% this afternoon.
Rain will be possible tonight into early Wednesday morning.  Drier
weather is expected for the rest of Wednesday but it will be
windy, with wind gusts over 20 MPH likely from mid Wednesday
morning through the afternoon.  Dry weather is expected through
the end of the week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in
                    the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 16 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 31739 mph-ft.
ADI.................Max 17.

TIME (EDT)         12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............70  62  58  59  60  60
Weather cov........SCH
Weather type.......RW
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............59  62  63  64  64  63
RH.................67  62  62  63  65  67
20 FT wind dir.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd.....9   9   9   7   6   4
20 FT wind gust....15  15  15  10      5
Mix hgt (kft)......1.5 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir....SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW
Transp wind spd....16  16  15  13  12  9
ADI................17  17  16  14  12  10
VRate mph-ft/1000..24  32  22  11  8   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. A chance of
                    showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph...becoming northeast 6
                    to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 9 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 804 mph-ft.
ADI.................Min 3.

TIME (EDT)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............59  57  56  57  58  58  66  81  89  90  93  94
Weather cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.......        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov...........        SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp...............61  59  56  54  53  52  51  51  50  49  48  48
RH.................70  72  77  83  83  86  86  86  86  89  93  93
20 FT wind dir.....W   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd.....5   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   9   10
20 FT wind gust....        10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)......0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir....NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N
Transp wind spd....9   9   9   8   8   7   6   6   5   3   3   3
ADI................10  6   8   8   7   6   5   5   4   3   3   3
VRate mph-ft/1000..5   4   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy...then becoming mostly sunny. A
                    chance of showers in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 12 to 21 mph with gusts up to 30
                    mph...increasing to 20 to 22 mph with gusts up
                    to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 3600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 7 mph...increasing to 31 to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 112469 mph-ft.
ADI.................Max 82.

TIME (EDT)         6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)............94     95     81     68     44     27
Weather cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type.......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............47     46     48     49     49     48
RH.................96     96     77     63     56     51
20 ft wind.........N 11   N 12   N 18   N 21   N 22   N 21
20 ft wind gust....15     15     30     30     35     30
Mix hgt (ft).......300    300    1600   2600   3200   3500
Transport wind.....N 3    N 7    N 26   N 36   N 32   N 31
ADI................3      8      45     80     80     81
VRate mph-ft/1000..1      2      42     93     104    109

$$
Forecaster...Heden
Requested by...CB Plante
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704808.0/MHX
.EMAIL c_plante@fws.gov



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