Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FNUS72 KMLB 010933
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP G3...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
533 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SMALL SCALE MODELING SHOWS DEVELOPMENT OF A
SEA BREEZE AROUND NOON. THE ONSHORE BREEZE IS FORECAST TO PERSIST
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. THE MAIN WILDCARD WOULD
BE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS OR STORMS DURING THE INITIAL BOUNDARY
PUSH INLAND AT MID DAY WHICH COULD DISRUPT THE INLAND PUSH OF
THE BOUNDARY...ADDITIONALLY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON DEVELOPMENT
OF STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH COLLISION OF THE EAST COAST BREEZE
AND INLAND BOUNDARIES IS POSSIBLE. IT LOOKS LIKE THE INITIAL
PRECIP SHOULD DEVELOP TO THE WEST OF YOUR LOCATION. STEERING
WINDS ALOFT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST STILL FAVOR ACTIVITY EVENTUALLY
PRESSING BACK TOWARD THE COAST LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2-3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........60     60     64     64
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............85     89     89     88
RH..............67     59     57     59
20 FT WIND......S 5    SE 6   E 9    SE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.              12     14

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....24 DECREASING TO 9 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............5 MAX.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........64     54     54     54     53     53
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............86     84     82     81     80     79
RH..............64     70     77     80     83     84
20 FT WIND......SE 10  SE 9   SE 7   SE 6   SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....30 INCREASING TO 50 IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........53     42     42     42     50     50
WEATHER COV.....                     SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............79     81     85     88     90     87
RH..............85     81     68     61     57     61
20 FT WIND......SE 2   S 6    S 8    SE 10  SE 12  SE 12
20 FT WIND GUST.              10                   15

$$
FORECASTER...PENDERGRAST
REQUESTED BY...ROB ROSSMANITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150701.JDSPG.01/MLB



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.