Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 221400
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR B-70C...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
800 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON NOVEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...
FOLLOWED BY ISOLATED SHOWERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. THE RAIN WILL THEN BECOME WIDESPREAD TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY MORNING. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ONLY DROP INTO THE MID 60
PERCENT RANGE AND DISPERSION WILL BE FAIR THIS AFTERNOON.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...LIGHT PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH INCREASING TO
                    EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 13 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....16 INCREASING TO 27 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 3 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING D IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........54     54     75     75     75
WEATHER COV.......              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP..............62     65     66     66     64
RH................67     65     66     69     76
20 FT WIND DIR....E      E      ESE    ESE    ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....10     10     14     14     14
20 FT WIND GUST...20     20     26     26     26
MIX HGT (FT)......900    900    1400   1900   1900
MIX HGT (M).......270    270    430    580    580
TRANSP WIND DIR...E      E      E      E      E
TRANSP WIND SPD...15     15     17     13     13
TRANS SPD (M/S)...7      7      8      6      6
DISPERSION........18     18     28     25     25
LVORI.............3      3      3      3      3
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      D      D      D
CWR...............10     10     20     20     20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST-SOUTHEAST 12 TO 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST-SOUTHEAST 14 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 4 IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY
                    MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
STABILITY CLASS.....D.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........95     95     95     100    100    100
WEATHER COV.......LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP..............64     64     65     66     67     68
RH................80     81     82     82     83     81
20 FT WIND DIR....E      E      E      E      E      ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....8      8      10     11     11     10
20 FT WIND GUST...17     17     20     22     22     21
MIX HGT (FT)......900    900    800    700    700    700
MIX HGT (M).......270    270    240    210    210    210
TRANSP WIND DIR...E      E      E      E      E      ESE
TRANSP WIND SPD...14     14     16     18     18     17
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      6      7      8      8      8
DISPERSION........13     13     15     17     17     16
LVORI.............3      3      4      4      4      3
STABILITY CLASS...D      D      D      D      D      D
CWR...............70     70     70     90     90     90

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    28 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 17 TO 20
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 32 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AROUND 17 MPH INCREASING TO
                    SOUTH AROUND 23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 29 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 INCREASING TO 39 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 4 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....D.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........98     98     96     93     93     81
WEATHER COV.......DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR
TEMP..............68     69     68     69     70     68
RH................79     81     88     91     85     89
20 FT WIND DIR....SSE    SSE    S      SSW    SSW    SSW
20 FT WIND SPD....11     11     15     17     17     16
20 FT WIND GUST...21     21     28     32     32     30
MIX HGT (FT)......600    600    600    600    600    1000
MIX HGT (M).......180    180    180    180    180    300
TRANSP WIND DIR...SSE    SSE    S      SW     SW     SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...17     17     23     29     29     23
TRANS SPD (M/S)...8      8      10     13     13     10
DISPERSION........20     20     26     38     38     39
LVORI.............3      3      4      4      4      4
STABILITY CLASS...D      D      D      D      D      D
CWR...............90     90     90     70     70     20

$$
FORECASTER...22
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141122.B70C_.01/MOB








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