Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 221057
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR EGLIN WILDLAND FIRE...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
557 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN STATIONARY AND
DRAPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO IN THE NEAR TERM. RAINFREE
WEATHER IS FORECAST THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
TENNESSEE AND OHIO RIVER VALLEY AREAS...SLIPS EAST. DAYTIME DISPERSION
GENERALLY GOOD TODAY AND GOOD ON SATURDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG NOT EXPECTED
TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 14 TO 17 MPH BECOMING NORTH-NORTHWEST 8 TO
                    10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 44. (GENERALLY GOOD).
LVORI...............DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........55     55     48     48     48
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............73     79     82     83     82
RH................55     44     41     41     44
20 FT WIND DIR....N      NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE
20 FT WIND SPD....8      8      5      5      4
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......1100   2300   3400   3400   3400
MIX HGT (M).......340    700    1040   1040   1040
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNE    N      N      N      NNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...16     14     10     10     8
TRANS SPD (M/S)...7      6      4      4      4
DISPERSION........22     34     44     44     35
LVORI.............3      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      B      B      B
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST-NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO 6. (VERY POOR).
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 4.
STABILITY CLASS.....BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........48     37     37     37     32     32
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............80     75     71     69     68     67
RH................47     59     69     73     75     78
20 FT WIND DIR....NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE    NE     ENE
20 FT WIND SPD....4      4      5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......3400   1900   1100   1100   300    500
MIX HGT (M).......1040   580    340    340    90     150
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNW    NW     N      N      ENE    ENE
TRANSP WIND SPD...8      8      9      9      10     10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION........35     4      5      5      6      7
LVORI.............1      3      3      3      4      4
STABILITY CLASS...B      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 65. (GOOD).
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........32     37     37     37     50     50
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............66     71     80     84     87     87
RH................83     67     53     48     47     50
20 FT WIND DIR....ENE    ENE    E      E      ESE    ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....5      6      5      5      4      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......500    800    3700   3700   6500   6500
MIX HGT (M).......150    240    1130   1130   1980   1980
TRANSP WIND DIR...ENE    E      E      E      ESE    SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...10     13     12     12     9      10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      6      5      5      4      4
DISPERSION........7      16     48     48     61     68
LVORI.............4      3      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...10
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150522.EGLIN.01/MOB



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