Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 211244
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Stage Coach...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
644 AM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CST on February 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Southeast winds around 10 to 15 mph expected today, with
a few isolated showers developing this afternoon. No rain is expected
Thursday. Fair to generally good dispersions expected each afternoon.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog development will be
possible late tonight into early Thursday morning, especially
for coastal counties.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Slight chance of showers in the
                    late morning and early afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1200-2800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...366-853 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 7 to 9 meters/second.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  61  63  64  65  66  66  65  64  64  63
Weather cov.....PTY PTY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....FOG FOG RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10
Temp............71  73  75  77  79  81  82  82  81  79  77
RH..............84  81  76  71  69  65  63  63  65  69  74
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   9   9   10  10  10  10  9   7
20 FT wind gust.10  11  12  13  14  14  14  14  14  13  11
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.8 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.15  17  20  21  20  20  20  20  18  16  15
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).7   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   7   7
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......1000-1300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...305-396 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 6 meters/second.
LVORI...............7.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........63  64  67  68  69  70  70  70  71  71  69  64
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............75  73  72  71  70  69  68  68  68  67  67  66
RH..............79  84  84  87  90  93  97  97  93  97  97  97
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   3   3   4
20 FT wind gust.10  7   7   6   6   6   6   6   5   4   4   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.13  12  12  12  12  12  10  9   7   6   6   7
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).6   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........4   4   4   5   5   6   7   8   7   8   9   9

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph early
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......900-2400 ft AGL increasing to 3000-3600 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height (m)...274-732 meters AGL increasing to 914-1097
                    meters AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 5 meters/second.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62  60  57  54  50  47  45  44  41  39  37  34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............66  68  70  73  76  78  80  82  82  81  79  76
RH..............97  90  84  76  71  67  62  58  58  60  64  69
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   7   8   10  10  10  10  8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.4 3.0 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   9   10  12  12  12  12  10  9   8
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
LVORI...........8   5   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3

$$
Forecaster...49
Requested by...Shannon Bowman
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802269.0/MOB
.EMAIL Shannon.Bowman@freshfromflorida.com



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