Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 251107
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR A-78-BANSA...EGLIN AF BASE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
607 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0620 CDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE RIDGE STRETCHING WEST OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CREATE A LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IN THE MIXING LAYER THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND WILL KEEP MOISTURE LEVELS WELL ABOVE CRITERIA LEVELS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG WILL CONTINUE EACH NIGHT
ESPECIALLY NEAR AREAS THAT RECEIVE RAINFALL. ISOLATED DENSE FOG IS
POSSIBLE IN FOG PRONE AND LOW LYING AREAS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4200 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 13
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 48.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING C LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING B IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........39     51     51     51     50     50
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............75     79     85     87     88     87
RH................91     85     69     64     63     64
20 FT WIND DIR....WSW    SW     SW     SW     SSW    SW
20 FT WIND SPD....2      4      6      6      8      8
20 FT WIND GUST...              13     13     16     17
MIX HGT (FT)......1700   2400   3900   3900   5300   4200
MIX HGT (M).......520    730    1190   1190   1620   1280
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    SW     SW     SW     SW     SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...7      10     10     10     12     13
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      4      4      4      5      6
DISPERSION........5      29     30     30     48     48
LVORI.............6      4      3      3      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      C      C      B      B
CWR...............20     30     30     30     40     40

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1600-1700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........50     43     43     43     35     35
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............85     82     80     78     77     76
RH................68     74     80     84     87     90
20 FT WIND DIR....SW     SW     SW     SW     SW     WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....8      7      5      5      4      2
20 FT WIND GUST...17     15
MIX HGT (FT)......4200   3200   2500   2500   1700   1600
MIX HGT (M).......1280   980    760    760    520    490
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SW     SW     SW     SW     SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...13     13     13     13     12     9
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      6      6      6      5      4
DISPERSION........48     18     9      9      5      4
LVORI.............1      3      4      4      5      6
STABILITY CLASS...B      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............40     20     20     20     20     20

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3900 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 35.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING C
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........35     48     48     48     64     64
WEATHER COV.......ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............76     79     86     89     90     89
RH................92     84     66     60     59     61
20 FT WIND DIR....WSW    W      WSW    WSW    SSW    SW
20 FT WIND SPD....2      3      5      5      8      8
20 FT WIND GUST...              12     12     17     16
MIX HGT (FT)......1600   1600   3500   3500   5300   3900
MIX HGT (M).......490    490    1070   1070   1620   1190
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     WSW    SW     SW     SW     SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...9      8      9      9      10     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      4      4      4      5
DISPERSION........4      18     37     37     33     33
LVORI.............6      4      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      C      C
CWR...............20     20     20     20     30     30

$$
FORECASTER...13
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140725.A78BA.01/MOB







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