Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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370
FNUS73 KMPX 061120
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHNEEWIND WMA D315-19...DNR WILDLIFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
620 AM CDT FRI MAY 6 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1015 CDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY SUNNY FOR MUCH OF THE DAY THEN CLOUDS INCREASE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
GOING INTO THE EVENING. WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS EXPECTED AS HIGHS
CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH GUSTING
TO 30 MPH. RH VALUES WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........77 AT IGNITION...MAX 87.
RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 12 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
                    GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 30 MPH...THEN DECREASING TO 20
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2500-26200) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (72700-119200) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (165700-191000) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (216300-241600) EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (187600) DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (133500) LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 7400-9000 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 7000
                    FT AGL DECREASING TO 5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 23 TO
                    32 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                                   S CHC
TEMP............62     73     80     85     87     84
RH..............58     46     35     27     24     29
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 8   SW 10  SW 13  SW 11  W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     25     30     30     20
HAINES INDEX....6      6      6      6      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (54300-79500) DECREASING TO
                    POOR TO FAIR (3900-29100) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 15 TO
                    20 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.
RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (4200-53900) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (134600-154600).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400-8900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 21 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERONE
REQUESTED BY...SHELLEY GORHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160506.SCHNE.02/MPX



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