Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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000
FNUS73 KMQT 301943
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR REPUBLIC NE...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
343 PM EDT THU JUL 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1500 EDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY W-WNW WINDS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING WILL DIMINISH
AROUND SUNSET AND WILL GRADUALLY BECOME LIGHT OVERNIGHT. NW WINDS
WILL INCREASE AGAIN ON FRIDAY TO AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
22 MPH AT 33 FEET. RH VALUES AROUND 38 PERCENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON
MAY DROP TO 35 PERCENT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE RECOVERING TO
AROUND 90 PERCENT TONIGHT. MINIMUM RH VALUES ON FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED
TO BE IN THE LOW 40 PERCENT RANGE. SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE INTO THE WEEKEND...BUT EXACT LOCATION AND
TIMING OF THOSE IS VERY UNCERTAIN. LOOK FOR A COLD FRONT TO MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN ITS WAKE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 28 TO 51 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 23
                    TO 37 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (1023) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (2032).
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700-8100 FT
                    AGL.
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........39  44  44  45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............76  76  76  75
RH..............36  36  38  40
33-FOOT WND DIR.W   W   W   W
33-FOOT WND SPD.13  16  16  16
20-FOOT WND DIR.W   W   W   W
20-FOOT WND SPD.10  13  13  13
WIND GUST.......25  23  23  23
VINDX KT-FT/100.1769203220211750
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.28  29  30  30
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.4 8.1 7.8 6.7
LAL.............1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    THROUGH LATE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (911) DECREASING TO POOR (0) BY LATE
                    EVENING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1600 FT AGL BY
                    LATE EVENING.
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........45     40     35     30     31     32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............73     67     63     61     58     57
RH..............42     58     74     81     89     92
33-FOOT WIND....W 11   W 11   W 9    W 8    W 8    W 8
20-FOOT WIND....W 9    W 9    W 7    W 6    W 6    W 6
WIND GUST.......20     20
VINDX KT-FT/100.1373   428    0      60     58     9
TRANSPORT WIND..W 30   W 30   W 29   NW 28  NW 26  W 26
MIX HGT (FT)....5300   1600   BLW100 300    300    BLW100
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)0      0      0      0      0      0

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 33 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (294) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1859).
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200-8600 FT AGL.
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........33     41     50     58     60     62
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............59     64     69     73     74     74
RH..............87     70     56     46     42     44
33-FOOT WIND....W 11   W 11   NW 15  NW 16  NW 16  NW 15
20-FOOT WIND....W 9    W 9    NW 12  NW 13  NW 13  NW 12
WIND GUST.......16     16     22     22     22     21
VINDX KT-FT/100.60     593    1149   1507   1796   1849
TRANSPORT WIND..W 28   NW 25  NW 24  NW 23  W 24   W 26
MIX HGT (FT)....300    2700   5500   7500   8600   8000
LAL.............1      1      2      2      2      2
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...TITUS
REQUESTED BY...CELESTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150730.REPUB.01/MQT


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