Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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518
FNUS71 KPHI 020950
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRESCO COMPLEX FIRE...CRESCO COMPLEX SITL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
550 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0538 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONTS WILL AFFECT OUR AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLIDE UP ACROSS THE
DELMARVA ON TUESDAY AND THEN OFFSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE WILL RIDGE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM ARRIVES FROM THE GREAT LAKES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PATCHY DENSE FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT EAST WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT THIS MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............100 100 100 99  99  98  93  88  83  82  82  81
WEATHER COV.........SCT LKY LKY LKY SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................45  45  46  47  49  50  52  54  56  56  56  56
RH..................98  96  94  91  86  84  81  81  78  78  77  77
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......1   2   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....    5   5           10  10  10  10  10  10  10
CWR.................50  60  60  60  50  50  40  30  30  30  20  20
CHC OF PCPN (%).....50  60  60  60  50  50  40  30  30  30  20  20
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............82  82  83  86  88  91  93  95  97  98  98  99
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................55  55  54  53  52  51  50  50  49  49  48  48
RH..................80  80  83  86  89  93  93  90  90  89  90  89
20 FT WIND DIR......W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10
CWR.................20  20  30  30  30  30  40  50  60  60  60  60
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20  20  30  30  30  30  40  50  60  60  60  60
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................60 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE
                    MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............96  92  89  86  83  80  78  77  75  74  72  71
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................49  50  51  52  54  56  57  58  59  59  59  59
RH..................88  86  85  82  73  68  66  66  64  64  64  64
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   5   5   3   3   2   2   2   1   1
20 FT WIND GUST.....                    5   5   5   5
CWR.................60  60  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50
CHC OF PCPN (%).....60  60  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
FORECASTER...GORSE
REQUESTED BY...JOHN HINTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160502.CRESC.01/PHI



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