Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 300917
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCAB CREEK...BLM RSD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
317 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1247 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOUND THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY ALTHOUGH NOT AS NUMEROUS OR AS HEAVY AS ON TUESDAY. MORE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS WELL.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER TOMORROW AND THURSDAY BUT SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW NORMAL. RELATIVE HUMIDITY SHOULD REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON BEGINNING AROUND
                    1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY PRIMARILY FROM THE EAST 5-9 MPH UNTIL
                    1030. THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY PRIMARILY FROM THE SOUTH
                    3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 1330. THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY FROM THE
                    SOUTHWEST  AT 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.12 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (25800-28100 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-77 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH PRIMARILY FROM THE NORTHWEST.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO -99-500 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700-12400 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 TO 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY PRIMARILY FROM THE EAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL
                    1030. THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY PRIMARILY FROM THE SOUTH
                    3 TO 5 MPH UNTIL 1330. THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY FROM THE
                    SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900-9900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (11300-51400 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...SCAB CREEK IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140729.SCABC.02/RIW









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