Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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000
FNUS71 KRNK 261613
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Glade Mtn. Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1113 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EST on February 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure is building across the area today. Breezy and
gusty winds this morning will decrease by mid afternoon to under
10 mph, then become light and variable overnight. Temperatures
will remain chilly with highs in the upper 30s. Relative humidities
will drop into the upper 20s this afternoon and mid 30s Monday
afternoon. The next best chance for a wetting rain is Wednesday.



.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 37.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35
                    mph...diminishing to 6 to 10 mph late.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 20 to 30 mph...becoming west 15 to 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................44...decreasing to 32 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   7   14  24  31  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............32  34  35  36  37  37
RH..............43  38  35  31  29  30
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..12  11  9   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.25  25  20  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 1.8
Mixng wind dir..NW  NW  W   W   W   W
Mixng wind spd..22  20  17  15  14  13
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   2   2
ADI.............42  40  36  32  28  29
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent)...then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 3 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 8 to 12 mph.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................7.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........34     35     39     56     70     93
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............36     36     35     34     34     35
RH..............31     30     32     39     42     41
20 ft wind......W 6    SW 5   S 5    SW 8   SW 7   SW 7
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   800    300    300    300    300
Mixing wind......W 12   SW 9   SW 8   S 9    SW 9   SW 9
LVORI...........2      2      2      2      2      2
ADI.............8      4      6      8      9      8
Haines index....3      4      5      5      5      5

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). A slight chance
                    of rain showers in the afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent...increasing to 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 10 to 17 mph...increasing to 20 to 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................12...increasing to 36.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........86     85     87     84     84     86
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      10     20     20     20
Temp............34     35     41     44     47     49
RH..............49     53     43     42     40     37
20 ft wind......S 6    S 6    S 6    S 8    S 10   S 11
20 ft wind gust.10     15     15     15     20     20
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    300    700    1200   1600
Mixing wind......S 9    S 8    S 8    S 14   S 20   S 22
LVORI...........2      2      2      2      2      1
ADI.............10     9      9      15     27     39
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5

$$
Forecaster...Stonefield
Requested by...Harold Sutherland
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702500.2/RNK



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