Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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000
FNUS74 KSJT 312113
FWSSJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAVELAH COMPLEX FIRE...TFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO
413 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1559 CDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT HAS MOVED SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10...RESULTING IN
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH ACROSS THE BURN AREA. THERE IS A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS...BUT COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIMITED. HOWEVER...THE
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTNING IF ANY STORMS DEVELOP. EXPECT
NORTH WINDS OF 4-8 MPH WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES RECOVERING TO NEAR
90 PERCENT BY SUNRISE. WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
AT 6-10 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 90S WITH
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 40 PERCENT. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED
ON FRIDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 2
                    MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 1.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........57     57     60     62     62     58
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............86     84     78     75     72     70
RH..............50     51     62     71     79     84
20 FT WIND......N 10   N 9    N 8    N 7    N 5    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 2 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 13 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........54     52     49     45     44     45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     68     75     81     84     87
RH..............87     84     66     53     46     40
20 FT WIND......N 3    N 5    N 7    N 7    N 7    N 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5             10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      3      2      4

$$

FORECASTER...JOHNSON
REQUESTED BY...TEXAS A M FOREST SERVICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140731.HAVEL.02/SJT







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