Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FNUS74 KSJT 111220
FWSSJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAN ANGELO SP UNIT 15 RX...TEXAS PARKS & WILDLIFE DEPT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
620 AM CST WED JAN 11 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON JANUARY 11.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 325-944-3030 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST. THE HYSPLIT PLUME FILE IS FORTHCOMING
(TAKES ABOUT 15 MINUTES TO RUN).

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING...BECOMING GUSTY
BY LATE MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS
TO AROUND 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED. DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS
THIS AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL CLIMB TO ABOVE 1000 FT BY 9 AM...
AND ABOVE 2000 FT BETWEEN 11 AM AND NOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE
BY 5-6 PM TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2900-51000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........31     27     16     11     9      12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
TEMP............48     53     67     78     81     79
RH..............96     83     52     33     27     30
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 10  SW 14  SW 16  SW 15  S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     25     25     25     15
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1100   2000   2800   3200   2600
MIXING WIND......SW 12  SW 14  SW 16  SW 18  SW 18  S 12
HAINES INDEX....6      6      6      6      5      5
SDSPL KT-FT/10003      14     27     44     51     26

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1500-16700 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........13     9      11     18     32     39
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
TEMP............71     60     57     56     55     52
RH..............41     64     75     80     83     93
20 FT WIND......S 9    S 10   S 10   S 10   S 8    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   1000   400    400    300    300
MIXING WIND......S 9    S 12   S 13   SW 12  SW 9   SW 8
HAINES INDEX....5      5      6      6      6      5
SDSPL KT-FT/100017     10     5      4      3      2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-2400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1200-17000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........47     51     51     44     45     46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
TEMP............50     50     58     66     70     72
RH..............96     100    83     63     57     53
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 6    S 6    S 7    S 8    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....200    600    1200   1800   2400   2400
MIXING WIND......W 7    SW 5   SW 6   S 9    S 8    S 8
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      4
SDSPL KT-FT/10001      2      6      15     17     17

$$
FORECASTER...GROH
REQUESTED BY...JEFF SPARKS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700276.0/SJT



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