Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC

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AGUS74 KFWR 301702
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1202 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

                 VALID OCTOBER 30 THROUGH NOVEMBER 4

...COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH POSSIBLE RAINFALL...

                   ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

A northern plains cold front is moving south into the southern
plains.  The cold front should cross the Red River into WGRFC this
afternoon.  Scattered rainfall with isolated storms is possible.
Temperatures will fall behind the front with highs in the 60s across
central Texas this weekend.  A longwave upper trough currently
entering the west coast will begin affecting WGRFC early next week
providing another chance for rainfall Monday into Tuesday.

       ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Friday morning, no significant Mean Areal
Precipitation (MAP) amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Friday into Saturday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Saturday into Sunday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Sunday into Tuesday morning, MAP amounts of 0.5 to 1.0 inches
are possible across the southern Texas panhandle.

Moderate or worse drought conditions continue to be observed over
parts of New Mexico and Texas.  In Texas, about half the state is
experiencing moderate or worse drought (48%) and 11% has extreme to
exceptional drought. In New Mexico, nearly two thirds of the state
is experiencing moderate or worse drought (63%) and 8% has extreme
to exceptional drought. Since no significant rainfall is forecast
within the WGRFC forecast area through the next 5 days, no runoff is
expected.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...WGRFC Basins...
Rainfall forecast over the next five days will not cause
mainstem river flooding in the WGRFC area.



              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.WGRFC.gov

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org

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