Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Ohio RFC

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AGUS71 KTIR 141436
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
936 AM EST Sunday, February 14, 2016

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
A warm front will lift into the basin Sunday and Sunday night. This will bring
snow today, with areas in the southern Ohio Valley changing to freezing and
then liquid precipitation overnight tonight.

Another stronger system will move across the southeastern Ohio Valley Monday
into Tuesday. Warm, moist air ahead of this system will bring rain to most of
the Ohio Valley, with heavy amounts across portions of Tennessee and Kentucky.
Only the far northern Ohio Valley will remain north of the rain/snow line.

Another weaker disturbance will pass across the southern Ohio Valley on Tuesday
and Tuesday night continuing the chances of rain and snow.

Temperatures are expected to moderate to near or above normal by the end of
the week.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
Frigid temperatures this weekend will give way to more normal temperatures
during the week. Additionally, significant rain totals, mainly in the south,
will result in some significant river rises. By mid-week there will be some
elevated potential for minor flooding in portions of southeastern Kentucky and
Tennessee.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Snow showers affected much of the Ohio Valley, but most areas did not receive
enough to measure. Those that did received only a few hundredths of an inch of
liquid-equivalent.

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
The entire basin will see precipitation. Amounts will increase to the
southeast. Basin averages will range from 1.50 to 2.50 inches in southeastern
Kentucky and middle Tennessee.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
None.

Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation

* Tendency based on observed value and a 1-day forecast.
$$
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