River Forecast
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726
FGUS51 KTIR 221450
RVFBVR
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
9:50am EST Thursday, February 22, 2018

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Leavittsburg - Mahoning River - CLE
: Zero Datum 871.25 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Trumbull County, OH
: Record River Stage     24.0 ft
: Major River Stage      15.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   13.5 ft
: Flood River Stage      10.0 ft
: Action River Stage      7.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 9PM EST on Sun, Feb 25
.AR LEAO1 20180224 Z DC201802221450/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:    9.3
: Crest near    9.3 ft around 1AM EST on Sat, Feb 24
.AR LEAO1 20180226 Z DC201802220950/DUE/DQG/DH01/HGIFFX :crest:   11.5
: Crest near   11.5 ft around 1AM EST on Mon, Feb 26
: Fall below flood level around 6PM EST on Mon, Feb 26
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 20                           /   9.9
:     Feb 21   /   9.7 /   8.9 /   7.8 /   7.0
:     Feb 22   /   6.5 /   6.7 /   6.8
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 6.9 ft at 915am EST on Thu, Feb 22
:
.ER LEAO1 20180222 Z DC201802221450/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 22 :                         /   7.2
.E2 : Feb 23 : /   7.3 /   7.3 /   7.5 /   8.1
.E3 : Feb 24 : /   9.2 /   9.3 /   9.3 /   9.0
.E4 : Feb 25 : /   8.4 /   7.8 /   8.1 /   8.9
.E5 : Feb 26 : /   9.4 /  11.5 /  11.1 /  10.6
.E6 : Feb 27 : /   9.9 /   9.4 /   9.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /  0.69
:     Feb 20   /  0.16 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.09
:     Feb 22   /  0.04 /  0.11 /  0.24
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (54 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 22                           /  0.37
:     Feb 23   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.10 /  0.57
:     Feb 24   /  0.14 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.08
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (126 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /   5.8
:     Feb 20   /  11.8 /  15.4 /  16.1 /  18.3
:     Feb 21   /  21.6 /  19.0 /  18.7 /  12.4
:     Feb 22   /   3.7 /   0.8 /   0.4 /   2.6
:     Feb 23   /   5.6 /   3.6 /   3.7 /   8.2
:     Feb 24   /  12.8 /   9.5 /   6.3 /   6.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Warren - Mahoning River - CLE
: Zero Datum 855.66 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Trumbull County, OH
: Record River Stage     21.0 ft
: Major River Stage      12.5 ft
: Moderate River Stage   11.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      10.0 ft
: Action River Stage      7.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR WRNO1 20180226 Z DC201802221450/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:    8.6
: Crest near    8.6 ft around 1AM EST on Mon, Feb 26
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 20                           /   6.9
:     Feb 21   /   6.9 /   6.4 /   5.7 /   5.0
:     Feb 22   /   4.6 /   4.6 /   4.7
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 4.8 ft at 930am EST on Thu, Feb 22
:
.ER WRNO1 20180222 Z DC201802221450/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 22 :                         /   5.1
.E2 : Feb 23 : /   5.3 /   5.2 /   5.4 /   6.2
.E3 : Feb 24 : /   6.6 /   6.6 /   6.6 /   6.4
.E4 : Feb 25 : /   6.1 /   5.9 /   6.2 /   6.4
.E5 : Feb 26 : /   6.7 /   8.6 /   8.2 /   7.6
.E6 : Feb 27 : /   6.9 /   6.7 /   6.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /  0.59
:     Feb 20   /  0.25 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.11
:     Feb 22   /  0.05 /  0.12 /  0.23
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (54 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 22                           /  0.37
:     Feb 23   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.08 /  0.53
:     Feb 24   /  0.13 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.06
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (126 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /   5.4
:     Feb 20   /  11.2 /  14.7 /  15.8 /  18.4
:     Feb 21   /  21.2 /  18.9 /  18.5 /  12.0
:     Feb 22   /   3.4 /   0.9 /   0.4 /   2.5
:     Feb 23   /   5.7 /   3.6 /   3.6 /   7.8
:     Feb 24   /  12.2 /   9.4 /   6.0 /   6.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Youngstown - Mahoning River - CLE
: Zero Datum 824.1 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Mahoning County, OH
: Record River Stage     26.5 ft
: Major River Stage      20.5 ft
: Moderate River Stage   16.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      14.0 ft
: Action River Stage     10.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR YGWO1 20180225 Z DC201802221450/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:   10.8
: Crest near   10.8 ft around 7AM EST on Sun, Feb 25
.AR YGWO1 20180226 Z DC201802220950/DUE/DQG/DH07/HGIFFX :crest:   10.1
: Crest near   10.1 ft around 7AM EST on Mon, Feb 26
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 20                           /   8.7
:     Feb 21   /   9.0 /   8.8 /   8.1 /   7.1
:     Feb 22   /   6.0 /   5.2 /   5.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 5.4 ft at 915am EST on Thu, Feb 22
:
.ER YGWO1 20180222 Z DC201802221450/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 22 :                         /   5.9
.E2 : Feb 23 : /   6.7 /   7.0 /   6.8 /   8.2
.E3 : Feb 24 : /   9.6 /   9.5 /   9.0 /   8.5
.E4 : Feb 25 : /   8.9 /   9.3 /  10.8 /  10.2
.E5 : Feb 26 : /   9.4 /   8.9 /  10.1 /   9.6
.E6 : Feb 27 : /   8.7 /   7.9 /   7.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /  0.67
:     Feb 20   /  0.17 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.05
:     Feb 22   /  0.01 /  0.09 /  0.24
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (54 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 22                           /  0.43
:     Feb 23   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.10 /  0.62
:     Feb 24   /  0.18 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.08
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (126 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /   5.9
:     Feb 20   /  11.6 /  15.4 /  15.8 /  18.4
:     Feb 21   /  21.8 /  19.3 /  18.5 /  13.2
:     Feb 22   /   3.7 /   1.2 /   0.9 /   2.8
:     Feb 23   /   5.7 /   3.8 /   3.9 /   8.1
:     Feb 24   /  12.9 /  10.0 /   6.7 /   6.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Beaver Falls - Beaver River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 727.48 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Beaver County, PA
: Record River Stage     17.4 ft
: Major River Stage      19.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   17.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      15.0 ft
: Action River Stage     12.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 20                           /   9.5
:     Feb 21   /   9.3 /   9.1 /   8.9 /   8.6
:     Feb 22   /   8.4 /   8.1 /   7.9
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 7.9 ft at 915am EST on Thu, Feb 22
:
.ER BEAP1 20180222 Z DC201802221450/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 22 :                         /   7.8
.E2 : Feb 23 : /   7.9 /   8.6 /   9.2 /   9.7
.E3 : Feb 24 : /  10.5 /  10.8 /  11.0 /  10.8
.E4 : Feb 25 : /  10.9 /  11.1 /  11.4 /  11.7
.E5 : Feb 26 : /  11.7 /  11.6 /  11.2 /  10.9
.E6 : Feb 27 : /  10.6 /  10.2 /   9.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /  0.81
:     Feb 20   /  0.17 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.04
:     Feb 22   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.20
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (54 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 22                           /  0.69
:     Feb 23   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.13 /  0.72
:     Feb 24   /  0.37 /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.10
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (126 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /   5.9
:     Feb 20   /  11.9 /  14.1 /  15.4 /  18.8
:     Feb 21   /  23.2 /  18.8 /  17.2 /  16.6
:     Feb 22   /   6.6 /   3.4 /   2.7 /   3.3
:     Feb 23   /   5.1 /   3.9 /   4.3 /   8.5
:     Feb 24   /  13.9 /  11.5 /   8.1 /   8.3
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
: DeRosa
:...END of MESSAGE...




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