River Forecast
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FGUS53 KKRF 080135
RVFOSG

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
0131Z Wed Jul 8 2015
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS OSAGE

:                ***     EVENING FORECAST     ***

:     **********************************************************
:     *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF  ***
:     **********************************************************


: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF    <==

RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T
LITTLE OSAGE RIVER
  FULTON KS              22.0    4.1   CREST NEAR 21.5 FT 07/09 AM
  HORTON MO 1N           41.0   35.4   CREST NEAR 42.0 FT 07/09 AM
MARMATON RIVER
  NEVADA MO 2NW          20.0    7.5   CREST NEAR 24.5 FT 07/09 AM
OSAGE RIVER
  SCHELL CITY MO 3NW     30.0   23.7   CREST NEAR 29.5 FT 07/09 AM
SAC RIVER
  CAPLNGER MILLS MO 5N   16.0    9.0   CREST NEAR 22.0 FT 07/09 PM
SOUTH GRAND RIVER
  URICH MO 1S            24.0   17.5   CREST NEAR 26.5 FT 07/09 AM
BIG CREEK
  BLAIRSTOWN MO 1SW      20.0   15.6   CREST NEAR 18.0 FT 07/09 PM

:__________________________________________________________________

:FULTON KS - LITTLE OSAGE RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 22.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 20.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.1 FT AT 0115Z ON 0708
:
: Forcings: Anticipated precipitation as used in earlier river
: forecast did not occur.

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0707           /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.9
:   0708   /   4.1

.AR : CREST : FTNK1 20150709 Z DC201507080131/DH06/HGIFFX 21.5
.ER FTNK1 20150708 Z DC201507080131/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0708:        /   4.3 /   5.4 /  11.3
.E2  :0709:/  19.6 /  21.5 /  19.3 /  15.6
.E3  :0710:/  12.1 /   9.4 /   7.0 /   6.6
.E4  :0711:/   6.2 /   5.9 /   5.7 /   5.5
.E5  :0712:/   5.3 /   5.2 /   5.0 /   4.9
.E6  :0713:/   4.8


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0707          /  0.51 /  0.05 /  0.01
:    0708  /  0.14
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jul 08:   0.70  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0708          /  0.10 /  0.54 /  0.57
:    0709  /  0.11
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jul 09:   1.31  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:HORTON MO 1N - LITTLE OSAGE RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 41.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 39.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 45.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 50.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 35.4 FT AT 0045Z ON 0708
:
: Forcings: Anticipated precipitation as used in earlier river
: forecast did not occur.

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0707           /  29.2 /  30.8 /  35.0
:   0708   /  35.4

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 07/08/2015 AROUND 17Z
.AR : CREST : HTNM7 20150709 Z DC201507080131/DH06/HGIFFX 42.0
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 07/11/2015 AROUND 18Z
.ER HTNM7 20150708 Z DC201507080131/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0708:        /  36.6 /  39.1 /  41.3
.E2  :0709:/  41.6 /  42.0 /  41.9 /  41.9
.E3  :0710:/  41.8 /  41.9 /  41.9 /  41.9
.E4  :0711:/  42.0 /  42.0 /  41.9 /  41.0
.E5  :0712:/  40.0 /  39.2 /  37.6 /  35.5
.E6  :0713:/  34.5


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0707          /  0.73 /  0.33 /  0.01
:    0708  /  0.21
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jul 08:   1.28  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0708          /  0.12 /  0.62 /  0.78
:    0709  /  0.14
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jul 09:   1.65  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:NEVADA MO 2NW - MARMATON RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 7.5 FT AT 0045Z ON 0708
:
: Forcings: Anticipated precipitation as used in earlier river
: forecast did not occur.

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0707           /   4.5 /   4.6 /   5.0
:   0708   /   7.1

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 07/08/2015 AROUND 23Z
.AR : CREST : NVDM7 20150709 Z DC201507080131/DH12/HGIFFX 24.5
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 07/12/2015 AROUND 02Z
.ER NVDM7 20150708 Z DC201507080131/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0708:        /   9.4 /  11.5 /  15.1
.E2  :0709:/  21.0 /  24.0 /  24.5 /  24.2
.E3  :0710:/  23.8 /  23.7 /  23.7 /  23.7
.E4  :0711:/  23.7 /  23.7 /  22.9 /  21.6
.E5  :0712:/  20.4 /  19.2 /  17.6 /  15.3
.E6  :0713:/  13.0


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0707          /  0.74 /  0.06 /  0.00
:    0708  /  0.15
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jul 08:   0.96  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0708          /  0.16 /  0.61 /  0.92
:    0709  /  0.13
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jul 09:   1.81  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:SCHELL CITY MO 3NW - OSAGE RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 28.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 35.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 45.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 23.7 FT AT 0045Z ON 0708
:
: Forcings: Previous forecast used overestimated amounts of fallen
: precipitation.

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0707           /  23.4 /  23.1 /  23.2
:   0708   /  23.5

.AR : CREST : SCZM7 20150709 Z DC201507080131/DH12/HGIFFX 29.5
.ER SCZM7 20150708 Z DC201507080131/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0708:        /  25.0 /  26.2 /  27.6
.E2  :0709:/  28.8 /  29.3 /  29.5 /  29.4
.E3  :0710:/  29.4 /  29.3 /  29.1 /  29.0
.E4  :0711:/  28.5 /  28.0 /  27.3 /  26.6
.E5  :0712:/  25.6 /  24.8 /  23.9 /  22.8
.E6  :0713:/  22.0


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0707          /  0.71 /  0.17 /  0.01
:    0708  /  0.26
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jul 08:   1.15  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0708          /  0.11 /  0.69 /  0.88
:    0709  /  0.19
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jul 09:   1.87  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:CAPLNGER MILLS MO 5N - SAC RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 14.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 9.0 FT AT 0045Z ON 0708

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0707           /  11.1 /   8.7 /   7.3
:   0708   /   7.8

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 07/09/2015 AROUND 03Z
.AR : CREST : CMZM7 20150709 Z DC201507080131/DH18/HGIFFX 22.0
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 07/10/2015 AROUND 21Z
.ER CMZM7 20150708 Z DC201507080131/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0708:        /  10.0 /  11.3 /  12.3
.E2  :0709:/  14.5 /  17.2 /  19.7 /  22.0
.E3  :0710:/  20.7 /  19.4 /  18.0 /  16.7
.E4  :0711:/  15.2 /  14.1 /  13.0 /  12.1
.E5  :0712:/  11.4 /  11.0 /  10.8 /  10.6
.E6  :0713:/  10.4


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0707          /  0.41 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0708  /  0.06
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jul 08:   0.46  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0708          /  0.19 /  0.67 /  1.33
:    0709  /  0.31
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jul 09:   2.49  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:URICH MO 1S - SOUTH GRAND RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 24.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 22.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 17.5 FT AT 0115Z ON 0708

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0707           /   8.4 /  10.1 /  15.9
:   0708   /  17.4

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 07/08/2015 AROUND 22Z
.AR : CREST : URHM7 20150709 Z DC201507080131/DH06/HGIFFX 26.5
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 07/09/2015 AROUND 19Z
.ER URHM7 20150708 Z DC201507080131/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0708:        /  18.9 /  20.2 /  22.1
.E2  :0709:/  25.2 /  26.5 /  26.0 /  24.4
.E3  :0710:/  22.7 /  21.1 /  19.7 /  18.3
.E4  :0711:/  17.3 /  16.5 /  15.9 /  15.3
.E5  :0712:/  14.7 /  14.2 /  13.7 /  13.2
.E6  :0713:/  12.7


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0707          /  0.52 /  0.17 /  0.00
:    0708  /  0.22
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jul 08:   0.91  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0708          /  0.06 /  0.55 /  0.54
:    0709  /  0.20
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jul 09:   1.35  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:BLAIRSTOWN MO 1SW - BIG CREEK     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 15.6 FT AT 0100Z ON 0708

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0707           /  15.5 /  15.3 /  15.2
:   0708   /  15.5

.AR : CREST : BLRM7 20150709 Z DC201507080131/DH18/HGIFFX 18.0
.ER BLRM7 20150708 Z DC201507080131/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0708:        /  15.9 /  16.3 /  16.7
.E2  :0709:/  17.1 /  17.5 /  18.0 /  18.0
.E3  :0710:/  17.7 /  17.4 /  17.0 /  16.4
.E4  :0711:/  15.9 /  15.5 /  15.2 /  14.8
.E5  :0712:/  14.5 /  14.2 /  14.0 /  13.7
.E6  :0713:/  13.5


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0707          /  0.36 /  0.19 /  0.00
:    0708  /  0.08
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jul 08:   0.63  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0708          /  0.03 /  0.32 /  0.40
:    0709  /  0.19
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jul 09:   0.94  inches

:********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:SGF -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Springfield, Missouri
:EAX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Pleasant Hill, Missouri
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: mgt
:...END of MESSAGE...



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