River Forecast
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000
FGUS53 KKRF 250048
RVFOSG

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
0047Z Mon May 25 2015
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS OSAGE

:                ***     EVENING FORECAST     ***

: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF    <==

RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T
MARMATON RIVER
  FT SCOTT KS NO.2       38.0   37.4
  NEVADA MO 2NW          20.0   21.6   CREST NEAR 25.4 FT 05/26 PM
OSAGE RIVER
  SCHELL CITY MO 3NW     30.0   31.0   CREST NEAR 33.4 FT 05/29 AM
SAC RIVER
  CAPLNGER MILLS MO 5N   16.0   11.2   CREST NEAR 16.4 FT 05/25 PM
BIG CREEK
  BLAIRSTOWN MO 1SW      20.0   23.2   CREST NEAR 23.3 FT 05/25 AM

:__________________________________________________________________

:FT SCOTT KS NO.2 - MARMATON RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 38.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 36.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 42.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 43.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 37.4 FT AT 0030Z ON 0525

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0524           /  13.7 /  30.4 /  36.4
:   0525   /  37.4

.ER FSKK1 20150525 Z DC201505250047/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0525:        /  36.6 /  35.5 /  33.6
.E2  :0526:/  32.2 /  30.1 /  27.6 /  24.3
.E3  :0527:/  21.9 /  20.1 /  18.7 /  17.7
.E4  :0528:/  16.8 /  16.1 /  15.5 /  14.9
.E5  :0529:/  14.4 /  13.9 /  13.4 /  13.0
.E6  :0530:/  12.6


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524          /  1.06 /  0.81 /  0.10
:    0525  /  0.11
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 25:   2.08  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0525          /  0.28 /  0.01 /  0.00
:    0526  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 26:   0.29  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:NEVADA MO 2NW - MARMATON RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 21.6 FT AT 2345Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0524           /   9.2 /  16.5 /  20.9
:   0524   /  21.3

.AR : CREST : NVDM7 20150527 Z DC201505250047/DH00/HGIFFX 25.4
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/28/2015 AROUND 16Z
.ER NVDM7 20150525 Z DC201505250047/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0525:        /  22.7 /  23.5 /  24.0
.E2  :0526:/  24.3 /  24.8 /  25.0 /  25.2
.E3  :0527:/  25.4 /  25.4 /  25.1 /  24.8
.E4  :0528:/  24.1 /  22.8 /  21.1 /  19.5
.E5  :0529:/  17.7 /  15.1 /  12.9 /  11.2
.E6  :0530:/   9.9


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524          /  0.73 /  1.20 /  0.11
:    0525  /  0.09
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 25:   2.13  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0525          /  0.33 /  0.01 /  0.00
:    0526  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 26:   0.34  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:SCHELL CITY MO 3NW - OSAGE RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 28.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 35.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 45.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 31.0 FT AT 2345Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0524           /  29.8 /  30.0 /  30.6
:   0524   /  30.8

.AR : CREST : SCZM7 20150529 Z DC201505250047/DH06/HGIFFX 33.4
.ER SCZM7 20150525 Z DC201505250047/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0525:        /  31.3 /  31.6 /  31.6
.E2  :0526:/  31.7 /  31.7 /  31.7 /  31.8
.E3  :0527:/  31.9 /  32.1 /  32.3 /  32.6
.E4  :0528:/  32.8 /  33.1 /  33.2 /  33.4
.E5  :0529:/  33.4 /  33.4 /  33.4 /  33.4
.E6  :0530:/  33.3


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524          /  0.67 /  1.13 /  0.14
:    0525  /  0.07
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 25:   2.02  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0525          /  0.37 /  0.01 /  0.00
:    0526  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 26:   0.38  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:CAPLNGER MILLS MO 5N - SAC RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 14.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 11.2 FT AT 2345Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0524           /   6.2 /   8.8 /   7.8
:   0524   /   9.8

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 05/25/2015 AROUND 21Z
.AR : CREST : CMZM7 20150526 Z DC201505250047/DH00/HGIFFX 16.4
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/26/2015 AROUND 07Z
.ER CMZM7 20150525 Z DC201505250047/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0525:        /  12.3 /  14.1 /  15.7
.E2  :0526:/  16.4 /  16.1 /  15.3 /  13.7
.E3  :0527:/  12.2 /  11.2 /  10.8 /  11.0
.E4  :0528:/  10.9 /  10.6 /  10.2 /  10.0
.E5  :0529:/   9.8 /   9.7 /   9.1 /   7.9
.E6  :0530:/   7.0


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524          /  0.22 /  0.57 /  0.37
:    0525  /  0.15
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 25:   1.31  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0525          /  0.50 /  0.04 /  0.00
:    0526  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 26:   0.54  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:BLAIRSTOWN MO 1SW - BIG CREEK     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 23.2 FT AT 0000Z ON 0525

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0524           /  15.2 /  20.4 /  22.8
:   0525   /  23.2

.AR : CREST : BLRM7 20150525 Z DC201505250047/DH06/HGIFFX 23.3
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/26/2015 AROUND 10Z
.ER BLRM7 20150525 Z DC201505250047/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0525:        /  23.3 /  22.9 /  22.6
.E2  :0526:/  21.7 /  21.0 /  19.6 /  18.4
.E3  :0527:/  17.8 /  17.0 /  16.3 /  16.0
.E4  :0528:/  15.7 /  15.5 /  15.2 /  15.0
.E5  :0529:/  14.7 /  14.5 /  14.3 /  14.1
.E6  :0530:/  13.9


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524          /  1.07 /  0.50 /  0.11
:    0525  /  0.09
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 25:   1.77  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0525          /  0.37 /  0.02 /  0.00
:    0526  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 26:   0.39  inches

:********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:SGF -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Springfield, Missouri
:EAX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Pleasant Hill, Missouri
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: jjl
:...END of MESSAGE...



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