Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 030657
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
WIZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/03/15 0656Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 0615Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...WISCONSIN...
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ATTN WFOS...GRB...MKX...ARX...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...
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NESDIS IS CONTINUING TO ACCEPT APPEALS ON THE RETIREMENT OF THE SPENES
PRODUCT.  APPEALS CAN BE SUBMITTED BY EMAILING JOHN.SIMKO@NOAA.GOV
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UPDATED TO REMOVE MPX CWA FROM MESSAGE
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NESDIS IS CONTINUING TO ACCEPT APPEALS ON THE RETIREMENT OF THE SPENES
PRODUCT.  APPEALS CAN BE SUBMITTED BY EMAILING JOHN.SIMKO@NOAA.GOV
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EVENT...UPDATE TO EARLIER SPE FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN THREAT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...ALTHOUGH AMOUNT OF CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
CONTINUES TO REMAIN UNCERTAIN AS MID LEVEL DRY AIR MAY ALLOW FOR ENOUGH
DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT NEAR EDGE OF EML CAP ON GOES SOUNDER, HAVE NOTICED
SOME MORE SIGNIFICANT CLOUD TOP ENHANCEMENT OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS FROM
ROUGHLY GRB WNW TO AUW.  CLOUD PATTERN HAS BEGUN TO TAKE ON A WEDGE TYPE
APPEARANCE INDICATIVE OF THE INCREASING AREA OF DIFFLUENCE ON THE NE
PERIPHERY OF UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE RIDGE AXIS.  AREA VWPS WERE INDICATING
THAT SECONDARY BRANCH OF LLJ HAD INCREASED TO AROUND 25KTS AND WAS ABLE
TO TAP A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT OVER PORTIONS OF S MN ON LATEST
GOES SOUNDER DATA.  THE COMBINATION OF UNIDIRECTIONAL PROFILES ON AREA
VWPS AND MID LEVEL DRY AIR ON WV IMAGERY WOULD SUGGEST ANY ORGANIZED
CONVECTION SHOULD FEATURE A FORWARD PROPAGATING COMPONENT TO THE SSE.
IT DOES APPEAR AS THOUGH THIS MAY BE ONGOING NOW WITH CONVECTION JUST W
OF GRB.  WITH THAT SAID THOUGH, MODEST INFLOW WITH SOURCE REGION FROM
REMNANT INSTABILITY AXIS OVER S MN TOWARDS DEVELOPING DIFFLUENT REGION
ON NE PERIPHERY OF SHORTWAVE RIDGE AXIS WOULD ALSO IMPLY A THREAT
FOR A BACKWARD PROPAGATING OR REGENERATING COMPONENT WITH THE THREAT
FOR DOWNSTREAM TRAINING.  THERE DOES APPEAR TO BE AN ATTEMPT AT THIS
WITH ENHANCING CU FIELD EXTENDING WNW FROM ONGOING CONVECTION TO JUST
E OF EAU.  DO BELIEVE THAT THIS AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE FOR
WIDESPREAD INITIATION AS THIS APPEARED TO BE EXTENDING INTO EML CAP.
WOULD THINK THAT ANY SUSTAINED THREAT FOR BACKWARD PROPAGATION MAY NEED
TO WAIT UNTIL COLD POOL/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM ONGOING CONVECTION DEVELOPS
SSE TOWARDS BETTER MOISTURE AXIS OVER SE AND S CNTRL WI.  THIS MESSAGE
WAS COORDINATED WITH WPC METWATCH FORECASTER.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4495 8950 4432 8760 4358 8727 4352 8827 4357 8881
4399 9042 4461 9042 4492 9042
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