Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 290012
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/29/15 0012Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 2345Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...ILLINOIS...MISSOURI...IOWA...KANSAS...
LOCATION...NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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NESDIS IS CONTINUING TO ACCEPT APPEALS ON THE RETIREMENT OF THE SPENES
PRODUCT.  APPEALS CAN BE SUBMITTED BY EMAILING JOHN.SIMKO@NOAA.GOV
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EVENT...SATELLITE FEATURES FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN THREAT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LARGE SCALE PATTERN SHOWS ANOMALOUS
HEIGHT FALLS EJECTING NE INTO S MANITOBA WITH TAIL END OF HEIGHT FALLS
AND MORE MODEST FORCING EXTENDING SW TOWARDS THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES.
FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM CNTRL IA THROUGH SE NE AND INTO CNTRL
KS WITH REMNANT COLD POOL AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OVER S PORTIONS OF IA.
OVER THE PAST HOUR HAVE SEEN RAPIDLY ENHANCING CLOUD TOPS WITH AREA OF
CONVECTION NEAR THE VIC OF OTM WITH UPSTREAM CAP ERODING AS TCU AND CB
DEVELOPMENT WAS ONGOING NEAR OUTFLOW/SYNOPTIC BOUNDARY INTERSECTION OVER
SW IA NEAR VIC OF AIO.  MODEST MID LEVEL FORCING AND FRONTAL CONVERGENCE
SHOULD CONTINUE TO ERODE CAP FOR INCREASING CONVECTION TO CONTINUE FURTHER
UPSTREAM OVER PORTIONS OF NE AND CENTRAL KS THAT SHOULD MERGE INTO ONGOING
AREA OF CONVECTION OVER S CENTRAL IA.  ALTHOUGH MUCH OF THE CONVECTION
WAS CONSOLIDATING, VWPS WERE INDICATING POTENTIAL FOR ANY RIGHT MOVERS
TO BE RATHER SLOW MOVING TO ENHANCE HEAVY RAIN THREAT.  DO BELIEVE THAT
ONGOING CONVECTION SHOULD HAVE MIXED PROPAGATION COMPONENTS AS THERE
DID APPEAR A PLUME OF SOMEWHAT STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ON GOES
SOUNDER LIFTING NE INTO PORTIONS OF SW IA ALONG WITH PROXIMITY TO MID
LEVEL DRY AIR ON WV IMAGERY THAT WOULD SUPPORT A FORWARD PROPAGATING
COMPONENT TO THE ESE/SE.  HOWEVER, UPSTREAM TCU/CB WITH ERODING CAP AND
INCREASED FLUXES OF INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE INTO SW/W PERIPHERY OF COLD
POOL WOULD ALSO SUPPORT A BACKWARD PROPAGATING OR BACKBUILDING COMPONENT
WITH DOWNSTREAM TRAINING.  OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS CONSISTENT WITH
MADDOX MESOHIGH EVENT AND WOULD SUGGEST HEAVY RAIN THREAT TO CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  SEE RECENT FFGMPD AND QPFERD FOR
MORE INFORMATION.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4191 9318 4162 9199 4126 9131 4066 9098 4027 9159
4025 9179 3944 9463 3903 9575 3939 9654 3990 9665
4086 9576 4134 9539 4180 9448
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