Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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405
ACUS03 KWNS 220624
SWODY3
SPC AC 220623

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1223 AM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible from Arizona into northern New
Mexico Tuesday.

...Southwestern US...

Strong mid-level speed max should translate across northern Mexico
through the southern Plains into the OH valley Tuesday as a
positive-tilt trough advances toward the middle of the contiguous
US.  Meager moisture/instability will be present east of the Rockies
during the day3 period; however, steep lapse rates and strong
diurnal heating should contribute to scattered convection from AZ
into northern NM, just north of the aforementioned jet.  Despite
relatively cool profiles it appears lightning may be associated with
deeper updrafts primarily during the afternoon hours.

..Darrow.. 01/22/2017

$$



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