Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 301020
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
620 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...COOL AND DAMP TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDY...DAMP...AND COOL WEATHER TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO MILD
AND DRY WEATHER ON WEDNESDAY...BUT THE RESPITE WILL BE BRIEF.
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
FOR THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. PERIODS OF WET WEATHER WILL LAST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH A RETURN TO COOL TEMPERATURES.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-302030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
620 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 1000. PERIODS OF DRIZZLE UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 11 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (260).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    DRIZZLE AFTER 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (80).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    DRIZZLE UNTIL 1000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 9 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (700).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-302030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
620 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF DRIZZLE
                    UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......23 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF DRIZZLE
                    AFTER 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (80).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    DRIZZLE UNTIL 1000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (510).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-302030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
620 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PERIODS OF
                    DRIZZLE UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 13 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT...EXCEPT 86-91 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (330).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 52-57 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (490).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ031>033-302030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
620 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 1000. PERIODS OF DRIZZLE UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 14 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (510).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-302030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
620 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL
                    1000. PERIODS OF DRIZZLE UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......24 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (360).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF DRIZZLE AFTER
                    2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    DRIZZLE UNTIL 1000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (660).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

BERGER





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