Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS53 KAPX 240905
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
505 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...A STORM SYSTEM ORGANIZING IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WILL
MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY TODAY AND THEN NORTHEAST INTO QUEBEC FRIDAY
NIGHT. THIS PATTERN WILL GENERATE A ROUND OF RAIN AND NEARLY SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH FRIDAY.

FIRE DANGER WILL BE ELEVATED THIS AFTERNOON...PRIMARILY ACROSS
NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN...INCLUDING THE HURON NATIONAL FOREST.
THIS IS DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND INCREASING SOUTHEAST WINDS.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-242015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
505 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54...EXCEPT 41-46 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT...EXCEPT 41-46 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (910).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SPRINKLES
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 18 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (140).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.14 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
                    1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54...EXCEPT 40-45 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT...EXCEPT 57-62 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1430).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-242015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
505 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54...EXCEPT 39-44 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT...EXCEPT 39-44 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (900).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SPRINKLES
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 7 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT...EXCEPT 65-70 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
                    1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59...EXCEPT 40-45 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT...EXCEPT 57-62 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1210).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.08 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-242015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
505 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT...EXCEPT 54-59 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1190).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (140).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.21 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58...EXCEPT 40-45 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT...EXCEPT 57-62 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1610).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
                    21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-242015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
505 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED SPRINKLES
                    AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER...EXCEPT 8 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT...EXCEPT 38-43 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1370).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SPRINKLES
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 18 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (130).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.20 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1800).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO WEST AROUND
                    24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-242015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
505 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (970).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SPRINKLES
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
                    1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1720).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

BERGER




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