Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 280818
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
418 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...SUNNY AND COOL TODAY...WINDY WITH SNOW DEVELOPING SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION
WILL BRING SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS TODAY WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES DROPPING BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY...BRINGING STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS DURING THE DAY...FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF SNOW
AND RAIN TOWARD EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 40
PERCENT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOWER BY LATE MORNING BEFORE
INCREASING AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS. COOL CONDITIONS AND ELEVATED
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-282100-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
418 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35...EXCEPT 20-25 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT...EXCEPT 55-60 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (260).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....13-18...EXCEPT AROUND 20 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 69-74 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1400...THEN RAIN UNTIL 1700.
                    SNOW AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (970).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.20 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-282100-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
418 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36...EXCEPT 24-29 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT...EXCEPT 50-55 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....13-18.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT...EXCEPT 65-70 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW
                    LIKELY AFTER 1400 UNTIL 1700...THEN SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT...EXCEPT 52-57 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1230).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 33
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.14 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-282100-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
418 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT...EXCEPT 53-58 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (180).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....16-21...EXCEPT 23-28 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 15 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 69-74 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER
                    1200 UNTIL 1400...THEN SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1070).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 21 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 36 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.21 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-282100-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
418 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT...EXCEPT 44-49 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (210).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER
                    1200 UNTIL 1400...THEN SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1130).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 21 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 36 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.20 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-282100-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
418 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (310).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....11-16.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1400...THEN SNOW AND RAIN
                    LIKELY UNTIL 1700...THEN SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1260).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 33
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.16 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.

$$

JK



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