Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS53 KAPX 260928
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
528 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

...WET WEATHER CONTINUES...

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY TRACK UP THROUGH LOWER
MICHIGAN THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING SEVERAL MORE ROUNDS OF
RAINFALL THROUGH THIS EVENING...DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY.
SOME FREEZING RAIN WILL OCCUR EARLY THIS MORNING FOR PARTS OF
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN UNTIL TEMPERATURES WARM TO WELL ABOVE
FREEZING.

A BRIEF BREAK IN THE WET WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED ON MONDAY. BUT
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL TRACK UP THROUGH THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND
BRING SOME ADDITIONAL RAINFALL FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-262200-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
528 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN UNTIL 1200. RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51...EXCEPT 33-38 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT...EXCEPT 89-94 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (150).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.33 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2300. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2300 UNTIL
                    0200, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG
                    AFTER 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.18 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL
                    0800. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT AROUND 40 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER...EXCEPT 6 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (90).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-262200-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
528 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    FREEZING RAIN UNTIL 1200, THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49...EXCEPT 33-38 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.28 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2300. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2300 UNTIL
                    0200, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG
                    AFTER 1900.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.18 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL
                    0800. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56...EXCEPT 37-42 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (130).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-262200-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
528 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 1600, THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53...EXCEPT 33-38 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (110).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.30 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2300. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2300. PATCHY
                    FOG AFTER 1900 UNTIL 2100, THEN AREAS OF FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.12 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL
                    0800. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (90).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-262200-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
528 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 1600, THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (120).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.26 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2300. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2300. PATCHY
                    FOG AFTER 1900 UNTIL 2000, THEN AREAS OF FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED NEAR THE
                    COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.15 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL
                    0800. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT 40-45 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 7 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (80).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-262200-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
528 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN UNTIL
                    0800. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 1600, THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (130).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.24 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2300. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2300 UNTIL
                    0200, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG
                    AFTER 1900.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 3
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.12 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL
                    0800. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (120).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$





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