Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS53 KAPX 221052
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
652 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...COOLER AIR AND PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR RAIN SHOWERS
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EXITS TO THE
EAST. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM WILL
BE UP TO 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. MUCH DRIER AIR MOVES INTO NORTHERN
MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
REACHING CRITICAL LEVELS...INTO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOW
20S. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY BE IN THE 50S AND WINDS
AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH...WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE AN ELEVATED FIRE
DANGER DAY. THE NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY AS ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GREAT
LAKES REGION FROM THE PLAINS.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-222030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
652 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    FLURRIES AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1700. SCATTERED
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......22 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 15 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1270).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 27 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53...EXCEPT 39-44 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT...EXCEPT 39-44 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (530).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-222030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
652 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49...EXCEPT 37-42 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......21 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT...EXCEPT 65-70 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 24 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1360).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (250).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54...EXCEPT 39-44 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT...EXCEPT 39-44 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 35 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (770).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-222030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
652 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    FLURRIES AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1700. SCATTERED
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......26 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 15 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1270).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (70).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 27 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53...EXCEPT 37-42 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT...EXCEPT 44-49 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......36 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 28 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (370).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ031>033-222030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
652 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    FLURRIES AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1700. SCATTERED
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......26 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1320).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (140).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 30 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55...EXCEPT 43-48 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT...EXCEPT 34-39 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......36 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 25 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-222030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
652 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    FLURRIES AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1700. SCATTERED
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......26 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1360).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (280).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (700).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

TL





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