Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 131005
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
605 AM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...CLOUDY AND COOL WITH SOME PEEKS OF SUN LATE...

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN WILL PUSH AWAY FROM THE REGION THIS MORNING LEAVING MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES AND POSSIBLE DRIZZLE OR LIGHT SHOWERS FOR THE BALANCE
OF THE DAY. HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO BUILD IN TONIGHT AND
HOLD THROUGH SUNDAY. LIGHT WINDS AND PARTIALLY CLEARING SKIES MAY
LEAD TO SOME FROST ACROSS INLAND AREAS LATE TONIGHT.

TODAY AND TOMORROW WILL FEATURE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WELL ABOVE
CRITICAL LEVELS ALONG WITH FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS BELOW 10 MPH.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-132030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
605 AM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0800...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1100...THEN SPRINKLES UNTIL 1600.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (590).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.12 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40...EXCEPT 46-51 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    UNTIL 0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-132030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
605 AM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0900...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1100...THEN SPRINKLES UNTIL 1600.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (710).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.20 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40...EXCEPT 44-49 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    UNTIL 0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-132030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
605 AM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1100...THEN SPRINKLES UNTIL 1600.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (590).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
                    3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    UNTIL 0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1220).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ031>033-132030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
605 AM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0700. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1100...THEN SPRINKLES UNTIL
                    1600.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (590).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    UNTIL 0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1130).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-132030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
605 AM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1200. SPRINKLES AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (670).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.12 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    UNTIL 0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1080).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
60. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MG





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