Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 260740
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
340 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

...Increasing chances of showers and storms through Thursday...

.DISCUSSION...Chances of showers and thunderstorms will increase
from west to east across Northern Michigan today...tonight and
Thursday as low pressure lifts northeast through Wisconsin and
Eastern Lake Superior. Low stratus and fog will continue to impact
potions of far Northeast Lower Michigan through much of today.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-262015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
340 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.13 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 5 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.39 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0700, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71...EXCEPT 53-58 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1710).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.38 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-262015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
340 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 1400. AREAS OF DRIZZLE UNTIL 1400. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0700 UNTIL 1700,
                    THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76...EXCEPT 51-56 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT...EXCEPT 83-88 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (570).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0100. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2000 UNTIL 0100. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.22 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0700 UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71...EXCEPT AROUND 60 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE WARMER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1770).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 24 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 36 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.19 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-262015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
340 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT...EXCEPT 83-88 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1190).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.15 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2400. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 8 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (110).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.57 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0700, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    1400. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64...EXCEPT 44-49 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1080).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.46 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-262015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
340 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 6 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 22 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1310).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    AROUND 27 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400, THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER...EXCEPT 8 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 16 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (110).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.48 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0700, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    1400. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 50-55 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (980).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.39 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-262015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
340 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1190).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (90).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.23 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0700 UNTIL 0800, THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (2390).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 30 TO 36 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.33 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MLR


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