609
FNUS53 KAPX 060729
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
329 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

...Critical/near-critical RHs today...

.DISCUSSION...Sun-filled skies are expected today, allowing for
efficient warming and mixing after sunrise -- leading to RHs falling
to critical/near critical levels across much of interior northern
lower Michigan this afternoon. Light winds will promote lake breezes
to push inland beginning midday into the afternoon, raising RHs
behind its passage. Temperatures look to warm into the low to mid
70s for many this afternoon.  Rain chances return to the forecast
later Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-062015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
329 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of frost until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (385).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Areas of frost
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41...except 43-48 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 1 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (777).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.13 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-062015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
329 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 51-56 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (329).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Areas of frost
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 50-55 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (496).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .


$$

MIZ020-025>027-062015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
329 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 23 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (468).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier...except 15 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    after 1200.
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 51-56 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (756).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.21 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-062015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
329 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (524).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (47).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (838).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.19 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-062015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
329 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of frost
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (440).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Areas of frost after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (778).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.15 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MJG