Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 210845
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
445 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING CONTINUED CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION WHERE A WARM FRONT LIES. A FEW
SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM WILL LINGER INTO FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BUT
MUCH OF THE TIME WILL BE RAIN FREE WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. AN
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY WITH
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

NYZ001-002-010-011-212100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
445 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           40            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       79           62           79
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  5                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  8      LGT/VAR        NE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING        10 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               62           96           64
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            1            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3970         1700         4570
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 14         W  6        NW  3
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               55580        10200        13710
DISPERSION INDEX                   56           10           14
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-212100-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
445 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           30           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       79           58           78
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  5                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.02         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     2            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 AM   CONTINUING         3 PM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         9 PM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               61           99           65
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            3
LAL                                 4            1            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4630         1610         5960
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 16         W  5         W  6
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               74080         8050        35760
DISPERSION INDEX                   74            8           36
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-212100-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
445 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           50           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       80           62           77
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  5                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  5      LGT/VAR         E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.10         0.05         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                     2            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 AM   CONTINUING         2 PM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         1 AM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               61           96           67
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4440         1730         5670
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 13         W  8         N  2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               57720        13840        11340
DISPERSION INDEX                   58           14           11
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-212100-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
445 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           70           40
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       76           61           76
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  5                     SE  5
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         E  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.22         0.17         0.09
PRECIP DURATION                     7            5            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               74           97           66
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3680         1110         3960
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  7         S  8        SE  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               25760         8880        31680
DISPERSION INDEX                   26            9           32
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 60S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$







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