Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 190942
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
542 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A NORTHWEST FLOW OF COLD AIR WILL KEEP CLOUDY SKIES WITH PATCHY
DRIZZLE IN PLACE THIS MORNING WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN RIDGE
ACROSS NEW YORK LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL KEEP BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN PLACE WITH SOME CLEARING DEVELOPING INTO
THIS EVENING. CLOUDS WILL THEN INCREASE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT AHEAD
OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. COOL TEMPERATURES AND SHOWERY WEATHER
WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK AS THIS SYSTEM SLOWLY
CROSSES THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.

NYZ001-002-010-011-192115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
542 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     20            0           80
PRECIP TYPE                   DRIZZLE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       48           35           56
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 12                      S  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 14         W  8         S 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.10
PRECIP DURATION                                               4
PRECIP BEGIN                                               8 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               49           92           59
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5120            0         4200
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 17         W 10        SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               87040            0        75600
DISPERSION INDEX                   87            0           76
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-192115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
542 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     20            0           60
PRECIP TYPE                   DRIZZLE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       45           32           55
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 11                     SW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 13         W 10        SW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                                               3
PRECIP BEGIN                                              12 PM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               52           95           54
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4860          150         4570
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 15         W 13        SW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               72900         1950        77690
DISPERSION INDEX                   73            2           78
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-192115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
542 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     20            0           40
PRECIP TYPE                   DRIZZLE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       47           35           56
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 14                      S  9
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 15         W  9         S  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                                               1
PRECIP BEGIN                                               3 PM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               47           88           51
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6020            0         5810
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 18         W  9        SW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              108360            0        81340
DISPERSION INDEX                  108            0           81
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-192115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
542 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30            0           30
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       45           28           55
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 11                      S  5
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 11         W  5         S  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM                      4 PM
PRECIP END                       5 PM                CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               51           92           53
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6060            0         5630
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 17         W 10        SW 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              103020            0        61930
DISPERSION INDEX                  103            0           62
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$

SMITH





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