Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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040
FNUS51 KBUF 310233
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1033 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY, BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SOME
THUNDERSTORMS TO MOST AREAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO
MONDAY, THEN DRY AND INCREASINGLY HOT WEATHER WILL RETURN TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY.

NYZ001-002-010-011-310900-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
1033 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

                              TONIGHT          SUN    SUN NIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           60           30            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       64           78           62           81
AM WIND (MPH)                                 E  6                      N  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  7        NE  9        NE  7         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.17         0.03         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            8            1
PRECIP BEGIN                    11 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         8 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               97           62          100           46
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 3            5            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         6610          470         6300
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E  4         E 13        NE  9         N 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        85930         4230        63000
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           86            4           63
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-310900-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1033 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

                              TONIGHT          SUN    SUN NIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           60           50            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       60           77           59           78
AM WIND (MPH)                              LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  5      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.10         0.27         0.09         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2            6            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         8 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           60          100           51
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            2            3
LAL                                 3            5            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         6110          100         6140
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E  6        NE  8        NE  6        NW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        48880          600        55260
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           49            1           55
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-310900-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
1033 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

                              TONIGHT          SUN    SUN NIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           70           60           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       64           76           62           78
AM WIND (MPH)                                 E  6                     NW  5
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  5         E  6        NE  6         N  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.13         0.43         0.19         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     2           11            3            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     9 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING         2 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           69          100           53
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            2            3
LAL                                 3            5            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         4680          530         4940
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE  3         E 15        NW  5         N 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        70200         2650        59280
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           70            3           59
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-310900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
1033 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

                              TONIGHT          SUN    SUN NIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           70           60           50
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       60           73           61           75
AM WIND (MPH)                                 E  6                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  5         E  8         E  6      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.53         0.41         0.13
PRECIP DURATION                     1            9            7            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     2 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING         5 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           61          100           64
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3            2
LAL                                 3            5            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         7210          340         3800
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE  6         E 14         E  9        NE  6
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0       100940         3060        22800
DISPERSION INDEX                    0          101            3           23
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$



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