Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 030856
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
456 AM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO WILL SLOWLY PUSH ACROSS OUR
FORECAST AREA TODAY WHILE PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE... ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE GENESEE VALLEY. A SECONDARY
COLD FRONT WILL TOUCH OFF A COUPLE MORE SHOWERS TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT...OTHERWISE IT WILL BECOME COOLER AND MORE
COMFORTABLE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-032115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
456 AM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           30           50
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       79           59           75
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 18                     SW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 18        SW 11         W 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.35         0.03         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                     2            1            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING         7 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         7 PM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               56           93           51
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8370           60         6190
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 22        SW  5         W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              184140          300       123800
DISPERSION INDEX                  184            0          124
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ019>021-032115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
456 AM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           50           40
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       78           56           75
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 15                     SW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 15        SW  8         W 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.34         0.09         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     5            2            3
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING        11 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING        11 PM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               56           96           49
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7810            0         7260
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 22         S  3         W 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              171820            0       174240
DISPERSION INDEX                  172            0          174
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-032115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
456 AM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           50           50
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       82           60           77
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 12                     SW  7
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 15        SW  9         W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.28         0.10         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     4            1            4
PRECIP BEGIN                    11 AM   CONTINUING         9 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         8 PM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               51           91           51
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8680           10         6520
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 20        SW  4         W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              173600           40       130400
DISPERSION INDEX                  174            0          130
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-032115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
456 AM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           50           50
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       82           58           76
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 12                      S  5
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 13        SW  8        SW 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.35         0.12         0.10
PRECIP DURATION                     5            2            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     7 AM   CONTINUING         9 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING        11 PM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               52           99           55
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6980          130         6740
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 19        SW  5         W 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              132620          650       141540
DISPERSION INDEX                  133            1          142
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$



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