Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 190752
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
352 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED FROM QUEBEC PROVINCE TO EASTERN NEW YORK WILL
SETTLE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY. WHILE THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE
THE VAST MAJORITY OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK WITH DRY
WEATHER...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND FINGER LAKES
COULD SEE A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON AS MOISTURE BEGINS
STREAMING NORTHWARD INTO OUR REGION. MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS A WARM
FRONT LIFTS INTO OUR REGION FROM THE OHIO VALLEY...THEN STALLS OUT.

NYZ001-002-010-011-192115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
352 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       80           62           79
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  7        NE  6      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.02         0.42
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            6
PRECIP BEGIN                                  3 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               50           98           66
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5390           70         4900
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E  7         E 10        SE  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               37730          700        34300
DISPERSION INDEX                   38            1           34
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-192115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
352 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       79           61           77
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      S  6
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         S  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.05         0.36
PRECIP DURATION                                  2            6
PRECIP BEGIN                                  6 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               52           99           68
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7610           70         5510
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W  4         N  6        SW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               30440          420        49590
DISPERSION INDEX                   30            0           50
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-192115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
352 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       80           61           80
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      S  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  6         E  5         S  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.32
PRECIP DURATION                                               6
PRECIP BEGIN                                               6 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               50           99           67
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7690           70         5450
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  6         E 11         S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               46140          770        54500
DISPERSION INDEX                   46            1           55
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-192115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
352 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR       MCLEAR        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       78           56           80
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     SE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.13
PRECIP DURATION                                               4
PRECIP BEGIN                                              10 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               39           98           59
HAINES INDEX                        5            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5390           70         5610
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  3         E  6         S  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               16170          420        44880
DISPERSION INDEX                   16            0           45
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$







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