Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 120839
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
439 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE THAT BROUGHT US SEVERAL BEAUTIFUL DAYS WITH
COMFORTABLE CONDITIONS HAS SINCE DRIFTED OFF THE EAST COAST...SO NOW
WARMER AND GRADUALLY MORE HUMID AIR WILL START TO CIRCULATE BACK
ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SOME UNSETTLED
WEATHER LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...AS A SERIES OF FRONTAL SYSTEMS
WILL COMBINE WITH THE INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR TO PRODUCE A FEW
ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

NYZ001-002-010-011-122115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
439 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           40           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       85           67           81
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  5                      S 12
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9        SW  5        SW 16
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.07         0.53
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            8
PRECIP BEGIN                                  3 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               38           90           64
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            2
LAL                                 1            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6920          220         3810
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 13        SW  8        SW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               89960         1760        95250
DISPERSION INDEX                   90            2           95
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-122115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
439 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           50           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       83           63           80
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      S 12
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  8      LGT/VAR        SW 16
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.04         0.38
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            8
PRECIP BEGIN                                  3 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               42           93           63
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3
LAL                                 1            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6970          350         3590
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 10        SW  7        SW 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               69700         2450       111290
DISPERSION INDEX                   70            2          111
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-122115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
439 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       85           67           82
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      S 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  7      LGT/VAR        SW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.34
PRECIP DURATION                                               8
PRECIP BEGIN                                               6 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               41           90           61
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            3
LAL                                 1            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7670          210         4310
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  9        SW  5        SW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               69030         1050        99130
DISPERSION INDEX                   69            1           99
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-122115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
439 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       83           64           79
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      S 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  9      LGT/VAR         S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.33
PRECIP DURATION                                               6
PRECIP BEGIN                                               7 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               43           97           69
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8200            0         5320
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 14        SW  5        SW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              114800            0       122360
DISPERSION INDEX                  115            0          122
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$

RSH





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