Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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754
FNUS51 KBUF 010233
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1033 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE TOWARDS
THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. ALONG WITH PLENTY OF CLOUDS, TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE
COOLER THAN RECENT DAYS. IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED BY THE EARLY TO
MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK ONCE THE SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM MOVES
AWAY FROM THE REGION.

NYZ001-002-010-011-010900-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
1033 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           60           60           60
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       52           66           53           69
AM WIND (MPH)                                 E  9                      S  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    E 10         E  9         E  7        SW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.25         0.08         0.18
PRECIP DURATION                     1            3            3            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM         7 AM   CONTINUING         9 AM
PRECIP END                       8 PM   CONTINUING         2 AM   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           76           98           57
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            2            3
LAL                                 1            1            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0          710            0         5690
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 20         S 19         S 19        SW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        13490            0        73970
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           13            0           74
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-010900-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1033 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           70           50           60
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       50           64           52           69
AM WIND (MPH)                                SE  7                      S  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  8        SE  7        SE  6        SW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.30         0.05         0.15
PRECIP DURATION                     2            7            2            3
PRECIP BEGIN                    12 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING        10 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         1 AM   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           76          100           50
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            2            3
LAL                                 1            4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         2140            0         5840
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 32         S 32         S 24        SW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        68480            0        81760
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           68            0           82
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-010900-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
1033 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           60           60           50
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       50           64           54           72
AM WIND (MPH)                                 E  7                      S  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  7         E  8        SE  7         S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.05         0.12         0.10         0.11
PRECIP DURATION                     2            3            3            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM         7 AM   CONTINUING        12 PM
PRECIP END                       1 AM   CONTINUING         4 AM   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           72          100           47
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0            0            0         6090
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 21         S 20         S 15        SW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0            0            0        60900
DISPERSION INDEX                    0            0            0           61
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-010900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
1033 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           40           50           30
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       49           65           50           69
AM WIND (MPH)                                 E  5                     SE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR         E  7         E  8         S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.09         0.01         0.17         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                     5            1            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM         2 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               94           65          100           57
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         1350            0         5080
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 18        SE 20        SE 18        SW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        27000            0        45720
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           27            0           46
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. A CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$



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