Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 280831
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
431 AM EDT SUN JUN 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...

A FALL LIKE STORM SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WILL
PRODUCE A CHILLY DAMP DAY ACROSS OUR REGION TODAY...AS MORE RAIN
WILL ACCOMPANY TEMPERATURES THAT WILL BE MORE TYPICAL OF OCTOBER.
SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT CAN THEN BE EXPECTED AS WE PROGRESS
THROUGH MONDAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING THE RETURN TO
SUNSHINE TO THE WESTERN COUNTIES WHILE THE RAIN WILL FINALLY MOVE
OUT OF THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. THE BREAK IN THE UNSETTLED
WEATHER WILL BE BRIEF AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN
LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-282115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
431 AM EDT SUN JUN 28 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           80            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       61           53           75
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  9                      W  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    N  8        NW 10         W  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.22         0.08         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     9            6
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         6 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               83           97           51
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3040         1270         4760
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 11        NW 11        NW  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               33440        13970        38080
DISPERSION INDEX                   33           14           38
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ019>021-282115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
431 AM EDT SUN JUN 28 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           80           30
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       61           51           74
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      W  7
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  7         W 10         W  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.12         0.05         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                     9            6            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         8 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               78           98           50
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3850         1850         4580
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W  7        NW 13         W  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               26950        24050        22900
DISPERSION INDEX                   27           24           23
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-282115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
431 AM EDT SUN JUN 28 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           80           30
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       62           54           73
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  8                      W  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    N  6        NW  9         W  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.24         0.08         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                     9            6            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING        10 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               81           94           52
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2860         1260         5240
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E  5        NW 11         W 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               14300        13860        52400
DISPERSION INDEX                   14           14           52
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-282115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
431 AM EDT SUN JUN 28 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           70           50
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       62           51           68
AM WIND (MPH)                    E 12                     NW  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  7        NE  6         W  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.52         0.19         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                    10            9            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         2 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               79          100           59
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2980         1090         4650
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 12         E  8         W  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               35760         8720        37200
DISPERSION INDEX                   36            9           37
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$



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