Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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878
FNUS51 KBUF 130953
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
453 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

.DISCUSSION...

THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. BITTER COLD AIR WILL COMBINE WITH A NOTICEABLE WIND TO
PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILL VALUES THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY
MORNING. THE FRIGID AIRMASS WILL ALSO GENERATE LAKE SNOWS SOUTHEAST
OF BOTH LAKES...ALTHOUGH FRESH ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANT. TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE NEXT WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-132115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
453 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           60           40
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         SNOW SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                        2           -5           10
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 23                      W  5
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 22        NW 18      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.07         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                     9            8            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         9 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               61           86           51
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6000          790         3610
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 27        NW  9         W  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              162000         7110        18050
DISPERSION INDEX                  162            7           18
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-132115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
453 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           40           30
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                        2           -8           11
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 22                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 22        NW 19      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.10         0.05         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                    10            6            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         7 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               61           86           48
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6330           90         3270
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 30        NW  7         W  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              189900          630        16350
DISPERSION INDEX                  190            1           16
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-132115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
453 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           70           50
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         SNOW SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                        5           -5            9
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 26                     NW  9
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 26        NW 22         W  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.11         0.10         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                    12            9            3
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         3 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               62           81           48
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6400         1360         4030
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 30        NW 15        NW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              192000        20400        56420
DISPERSION INDEX                  192           20           56
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-132115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
453 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                        0          -19            4
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 17                     NW  6
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 17        NW 15         W  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     7
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                       6 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               58           85           46
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6260           90         3680
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 19         N 10         N  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              118940          900        33120
DISPERSION INDEX                  119            1           33
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 6.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS AROUND 30.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS
COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS AROUND 30.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
14. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$



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